It was just a matter of time before a process of removal or succession is hatched and instituted against Raila. Like father like son. The son of Odinga’s blood seems to attract evil insects. Plans and counter plans seem to find their way into the corridors of power just to outwit him. To the planners, Raila Odinga is someone who must not ascend to power at all costs. He is the rotten apple that accidentally got into “the†bag. He is the leprosy that has to be cleansed. Because after it will take another twenty years to groom one like him, especially from luoland. The surrogates of the powers that be are on the drawing board. The chase pattern may be complicated but the ultimate goal is one. Erase Raila’s name off the ballot box. My silent worry is why? Is Raila not the best man for this job? Has Raila not done enough to be the president of Kenya? Is there anyone who is more qualified than him? What is the problem? Is it circumcision?
It is obvious that Kenya is preparing for a new presidential election. Whether it will be in 2012 is unknown. The evidence is on the wall. Just a few pointers: While Raila says and I quote “Who knows whether we will be here in the year 2012?†the “owners†of Kenyan presidency are saying that dead or alive he will only become president over their dead body. Even though Uhuru was initially against the grand opposition, he is now openly supporting it. On the other hand Raila states that he does not support the grand opposition because one cannot be in and out of the government at the same time. My question would be, who is more in the government? Is it Uhuru or Raila? If the coalition is dissolved today, who will Kibaki support?
Raila seems to be of the opinion that hanging out with Karua will suffice. Yes it may but that is only if Karua goes for presidency. But even under these circumstances the mount Kenya region knows who among them has a chance. If Uhuru sticks in with Kalonzo and a few Makwere’s then they will vote for Uhuru and not Karua. No one should think that the central vote will be divided. If you doubt me then just revisit the Kibaki/Matiba era. If Karua under these circumstances join Raila she will win her seat but Raila will get zero votes from her constituency. Remember the Jaramogi/Muite era. Raila’s best bet under these circumstances is to keep the Rift valley do or die. Even if it means supporting this artificial outfit in the name of opposition in parliament so be it. The ODM house must not break before the next general election because if this happens then Raila will have to kiss presidency goodbye.
Another issue is looming, the age limit. Oh! 65 is the age limit, oh! Well may be this is a good idea. But, why 65? Why not seventy? And moreso, why now? Where in the world is this law practiced and has it been good for the people. In the words of Professor Ayiecho Olweny, this bill is intended to disqualify Raila for contesting the presidency in 2012. Surprisingly enough this bill may pass because it is being introduced at a time when Raila is very vulnerable. It is being introduced when many tend to think that Raila is trying so hard to please the central province at the expence of those who supported him. Raila has forgotten and forgiven but these regions are stung and bitter about the stolen election. They want none of central province courtship because they believe these people are not genuine. More so the rift valley MPs are upset over land issues, youths in jail, Raila’s resistance to official opposition and lack of meaningful power sharing. This bill may just pass and if it does then like father like
son, Raila fate shall have been ceiled.
The problem in Raila’s camp is obvious. First the pentagon is going to be restructured. Why? I would not be surprised if a rebellion is brewing. Whether this is made public or private, Raila better listen to his base. Whatever it takes he must keep the same pentagon structure and must not loose his base. If Raila looses Ruto then his presidency may be difficult to achieve. What is making it worse is that Raila diehards are on the periphery and are whispering in discontent. Due to lack of recognition or placements they have left for their past hobbies with their tails between their legs. Some even wonder why they bothered because they nolonger have the ear of Jakom as they famously refer to him. Again without these lieutenants, Raila is very vulnerable and as always the presidency will again slip away from the house of Ramogi. In some corridors the leutenats have counted their losses, to them they seem not to be lucky with the Odinga family hence they are looking for different gene pool. What Raila should know
is that his legacy is bigger than him. People bet their lives on it. It is time he strengthens his base rather than create new bases that will never be, especially now.
Dr. Barack Abonyo
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Date: Wed, 3 Sep 2008 04:15:58 +0000
From: barack abonyo
Subject: “Age limit Bill targets Raila” Will he ever be the president of Kanya
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The question is must Raila, Uhuru or Karua rule Kenya?Has Kenya system of ruling turn out to kingdomship chain style.Infact this people in the government hurts Kenya a lot as a country which is full of majority of poor citizens.This politicians some of the all they think is only their stomachs none else is suppose to survive in that presidential supremacy.Look at Kenya today if you look at the budget of running paliament today is equivalent running Kenya the time of Moi IMF style of borrowing money only to run a government for the purpose of the next coming election .Infact i wish that bill may go through,because either way Saitoti or Odinga may solve one problem of kingdomship.Next we need to look for a newcomer and a presidential material someone from Diaspora who will understand ,and appreciate what democracy and rule of the law in a land,someone who will change Kenya to a normacy and corrupt free country.
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Date: Wed, 3 Sep 2008 13:53:12 -0700
From: nelson njenga
Subject: RE: “Age limit Bill targets Raila” Will he ever be the president of Kanya
The article from Mr. Abonyo is the right observation on the issue
of Raila’s chance to become a president of the country.Everybody in kenya knows that Raila and his group are for real change which can reduce poverty,insecurity,corruption,
and tribalism.But the problem is that non reformists who are always ready to change colors whenever their positions are threatened.These non reformists should be identified and isolated so that the general public can know them properly.
When Raila fails to know is enemies ,we are failed as kenyans.
The country is full of turn coats that one is not sure of a real
friend.Kenyans are busy looking for money and power.Hence the
kenya politicians are not principle enough to persue a clear ideology.Therefore,it becomes difficult as a politician in kenya
to support one party totally.Parties are just individuals in kenya.
For sometimes ,Raila has come out as a savior when kenya is
at cross road politically.He is the one who is ready to sacrify
his time,money,and ambition for the love kenyans.Kenya is aware of these secrifies and they were ready and still ready
to make him the president of this country.
Raila shown his leadership when headed the constitution review
and gave it direction within a short time.Before Raila took chairmanship of constitution review,the plan remained as blue
print for many years.Under Raila’s leadership,the constitution
review reached Bomas of kenya where Muite,Murugaru,Karua,
Kiraitu,Awori,Kombo,Kityui,and Kibaki sabotage it. Kenya is happy
that ,this time round NEW CONSTITUTION will be enacted since
Raila is on it.
Raila’s party,ODM is the party for all kenyans except few turn coats who are after their stomach.People in central province are
also tired of their leaders who are ready to sacrify them at any
moment for money.It is true that central just like luos vote in blocks.The leaders always used fear on the central province voters not to vote for Raila.In fact,at the moment ,Raila is gaining ground in central province which he should not ignored.
At the same time,PENTAGON should be empowered in the odm by law.ODM should respect all the PENTAGON members for their
honest work.
Hon. Ruto has denied many times that he is not bad times with
Raila at all.The luos every where recognise Ruto as brave politician who can bring reforms in the country .There are some
people who are scheming how to divide ODM leaders by selling
hatred statements.This scheming will not work because the luo
elders and kalenjin elders have vowed to work as brothers for our common good.The luos are ready to die for kalenjin may a problem comes.In any case ,we are brothers just like Mt. kenya
tribes.
law so that
whereas it is obvious the 65th age limit for presidential contenders is meant to bar Raila from contesting the presidency in 2012,Kenyans and Raila’s supporters spread accross the country need not worry about the mischivous schemes of a clique of few mps majority being from central province where the plotters hail from. The matter shall be subjected to a referendum during, which the many kenyans who already know the Gema plan to bar the son of Ramogi from ever ruling kenya will shoot it down. with such hate schemes i forsee a situation where the country might not get anew constitution after all.Raila should not keep quiet when Kikuyu’s plot against him as we watch.Our patience as apeople who are ready to die with him is wearing out, after all Kikuyu’s did not vote for him in the last years poll.
Can we count the MPs who are likely to vote for the Bill against those who wouldn’t. The only thing that can save Raila is the fact that most of MPS are old hence unlikely to vote against themselves and that the bill is overstreched to limit former civil servants from participation in politics. If the Bill is amended and concidering the rebellion in ODM, this bill may be unstoppable. ODM needs to find a remedy otherwise Agwambo presidency ambition may be tossed.
Barack