From: Ouko joachim omolo
The News Dispatch with Omolo Beste in images

KENYA: MY PREDICTION THAT UHURU WOULD WIN HAS BEEN REALIZED AT LAST

From: Ouko joachim omolo
The News Dispatch with Omolo Beste in images
TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2013

When I predicted last year May shortly Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta launched The National Alliance (TNA) party which he would use to vie for presidency that he was going to win some of our readers and ODM supporters claimed that I was actually one of the beneficiaries of the money that Uhuru was dishing out-KENYA: TOUGH RACE BETWEEN UHURU AND RAILA « Jaluo.

When I spoke in Yala Catholic Church shortly after ODM nomination how Raila was going to be rigged out in 2007, Gem MP Jakoyo Midowo who was present during the Sunday mass laughed at me, wondering how the man of God could use the pulpit to tell lies.

Jakoyo laughed at me because according to him and ODM supporters there was no way Raila was going to be rigged out. In fact for Jakoyo Raila was already president come December 31, 2007 when the results were going to be announced.

I had ruled out the re-run, but even if it was going to be there it was going to be the toughest campaigns Kenya has never seen since independence. Uhuru camp I said would make sure, even if to use all the money they have, that Raila does not make it to State House.

At the time I was making the prediction, the opinion poll from Strategic Research, Prime Minister Raila Odinga, even though he remained the most popular presidential candidate with 32.7 per cent of respondents saying they would vote for him, the fact that he was he was dropping tremendously was one of the reasons to worry for his victory come March 4, 2013 presidential elections.

There was a steady drop from the 36.9 per cent who said they would vote for him in March 2012 and his 40.1 per cent in January 2011. This dropping left a lot to be desired.

Uhuru Kenyatta was the second most popular candidate with 15.2 per cent of respondents saying they would vote for him, even though this was also a sharp drop from the 23.9 per cent support that he received in the last Strategic Research poll in March 2012, although up on his 11.7 per cent in January 2011.

I had had highlighted several factors why Raila was dropping, the major one being of Deputy Prime Miniater Musalia Mudavadi’s exit from ODM to UDF. Since he ditched ODM he would be backed by 7.1 per cent of respondents, up from 1.8 per cent support in March and 0.8 per cent in January 2011.

Eldoret North MP William Ruto was the third strongest candidate with 7.9 per cent support, even though this was a decline from 10.6 per cent in March and 11.7 per cent in January 2011.

As Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka showed the same slumping popularity at 7.0 per cent, down from 9.7 per cent in March and 12.2 per cent in January 2011, Narc Kenya’s Martha Karua’s support rose to 5.3 per cent from 4.6 per cent in March. She was followed by Peter Kenneth with 2.5 per cent, Raphael Tuju with 1.9 per cent, Eugene Wamalwa with 1.4 per cent, Prof James ole Kiyiapi with 1.1 per cent, and Prof George Saitoti with 0.9 per cent.

Another reason why Raila was dropping was his failure to suspend Prof Anya’ng Nyong’o due to alleged controversial Sh4.3 billion civil servants’ medical National Hospital Insurance Fund (NHIF) scheme allocated to ghost clinics.

The ICC was not an issue here according to Uhuru’s spokesman Mr Munyori Buku because nothing in law stops Uhuru from vying. His strategy of incorporating the youth in TNA leadership was not only a brilliant idea, but also making Onyango Oloo from Nyanza as party general secretary.

Apart from Oloo, Uuru had also made Johnson Sakaja from Western as the party’s chairman, Wambui Gichuru from Central as Treasurer, and Mr. Billiaha from the Coast as Organising Secretary.

This was to send signal to Kenyans that given that in Kenya, unfair allocation of national resources through nepotism and corruption had been the major factor that triggers conflict in the nation as some communities feel neglected while their counterparts enjoy enormous share of the national cake, Uhuru’s party was beyond tribal and nepotism.

Uhuru would also have an advantage following Prime Minister’s Raila Odinga’s step brother, Isaac Omondi Odinga’s public announcement that he would ditch ODM for the G7 Alliance.

Omondi had accused Raila of dictatorial tendencies, saying that the days for the presumed reformers who are the pillars of dictatorship were gone, and they either change or change will catch up with them.

I also pointed out that if there would be re-run Uhuru would no doubt get many votes from the youth who make up 60 per cent of the population. He is a member of the social Network facebook under profile name Uhuru Kenyatta from where he discusses important issue with the youth than Raila is doing in his Facebook network.

Some of the issues Uhuru was discussing with the youth included reduction of poverty and create employment opportunities for the youth. To reduce poverty, Uhuru was convinced that the country must adopt pro-poor and pro-growth policies whose success must be measured by how well they translate to poverty eradication. This attracted the youth.

When we talk of riches Uhuru is one of the most riches people in Kenya according to Forbes Magazine which published a list of Africa’s 40 richest persons. Uhuru Kenyatta was ranked 26th and number one richest person in Kenya. His net worth was an estimated $500 million, which translates to almost 50 billion Kenyan Shillings.

This is how Forbes described his wealth: “Kenya’s Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta is the son of Kenya’s first President, Jomo Kenyatta, and heir to some of the largest land holdings in Kenya. He owns at least 500,000 acres of prime land spread across the country.

I also pointed out in my article that Uhuru would also receive sympathy votes because he and Ruto would use ICC case for their campaign, throwing all the blames on Raila. Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto tried to convince Kenyans that Prime Minister Riala Odinga is the one taking them to face the International Criminal Court (ICC) for the crime of humanity, accusing Raila of being used by foreign governments to clear the way for him to ascend to power.

MPs allied to Uhuru and Mr Ruto were smart enough to table a document in Parliament sensationally claiming that Britain was pushing to have President Kibaki indicted over the 2007/8 violence and Raila was the one behind all these.

Yatta MP Charles Kilonzo who tabled the document also accused the United Kingdom of propping up Mr Odinga and pushing for the detention of Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto.

In my previous articles I had also said that Uhuru would likely win given that their Jubilee coalition has united two of Kenya’s largest communities – the Kikuyu and Kalenjin- and so Mr Kenyatta stands a reasonable chance of following in father’s footsteps and becoming president.

My fear and the fear of Kenyans is that unlike Raila Uhuru will not implement the new constitution-KENYA: WHY UHURU MAY NOT IMPLEMENT CONSTITUTION .

Fr Joachim Omolo Ouko, AJ
Tel +254 7350 14559/+254 722 623 578
E-mail omolo.ouko@gmail.com
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Twitter-@8000accomole

Real change must come from ordinary people who refuse to be taken hostage by the weapons of politicians in the face of inequality, racism and oppression, but march together towards a clear and unambiguous goal.

-Anne Montgomery, RSCJ UN Disarmament Conference, 2002