World Investment and Political Risk 2013

From: Yona Maro

For a second straight year, FDI to developing economies remains soft, still below previous peaks (figure 1). After declining from the 2011 peak of $628 billion to $604 billion last year, 2013 is expected to see a 2 percent increase to an estimated $617 billion—a further increase is expected only in 2015. While there has been explosive FDI growth since the turn of the century—FDI was 337 percent higher in 2011 than in 2000—the rebound of 2009-10 looks more distant. FDI now appears stable and at high levels, but with persistent economic concerns and stuttering growth, it does not look likely to return to the growth rates of the mid 2000s anytime soon.

At a sub-regional level, trends are more diverse. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia have shown healthy growth this year, achieving 19 percent and 21 percent increases in FDI inflows, respectively. Other developing regions are experiencing declines, particularly Europe and Central Asia, where FDI flows are expected to fall by 16 percent for the year. The other key success stories of recent years – increases in FDI from developing economies and South-South investment—continued. FDI outflows from developing economies reached a record level of $164 billion in 2012, representing a record share of 12 percent of global FDI outflows.
Link
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Yona Fares Maro
Institut d’études de sécurité – SA

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