Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2009 00:32:18 +0400 [02:32:18 PM CST]
From: g odhiambo
Subject: Re: Mutahi Ngunyi: Kibaki planning a 2012 rigging

The same way project Uhuru failed in 2002, project whoever will also fail. If they lost elections even with 1,2 million dead voters in 2007, how will they win in 2012?

If anything, Saitoti may not be the prefered candidate for the GEMA’s….Uhuru is the one they may push ahead and he will miserably fail! Kenyans are tired of mass looting, tribalism and massive corruption

On Mon, Jan 26, 2009 at 6:30 PM, Betty Muragori wrote:

Dear All,
I was stopped in my tracks when I read Mutahi Ngunyi’s piece on Sunday. I was also gripped by an ice cold fear. What he wrote I beielve to be true. He has acted the seer before and I could see the fortelling in this piece. You know it isn’t even tribal thinking that fuels these evil fools. It is actually death. They died long ago and they want to take the rest of us down with them. And they will succeed if we let them. How do we stop them? This is the inquiry that we each one of us has to now engage in not in anger, not in cyniscim (how is this word spelled?).

Betty

— On Mon, 1/26/09, henry ouma wrote:

From: henry ouma
Subject: Re: Mutahi Ngunyi: Kibaki planning a 2012 rigging
Date: Monday, January 26, 2009, 1:30 PM

useless puerile thinking ! Who will allow octagenarians(all of them ) to ruin Kenya 2012 we shall have gone Ugatuzi so they can ruin their tribes and villages. We are fed up with tribal grandeur from old, useless, corrupt, balded,bearded, inept and backward politics of the tribe for the useless docile tribe.Useless !

— On Mon, 1/26/09, Winnie wrote:

From: Winnie
Subject: Re: Mutahi Ngunyi: Kibaki planning a 2012 rigging
Date: Monday, January 26, 2009, 2:08 PM

Woow such an eye opener

I just wonder what the young people or we so say ‘the leaders of tomorrow’ are doing about this before 2012 catches up with us. but to be honest we need to revolutionize Kenya and its only new, young and dynamics people who can do that.

W

On Jan 26, 1:10 am, mike oketch wrote:
Opinion

Is Kibaki’s succession plan viable?
By MUTAHI NGUNYIPosted Saturday, January 24 2009 at 17:04

In Summary
* An orange tree cannot bear oranges one year and bananas the
following year
* If President Kibaki has motive and a potential successor, what are his methods of executing this plan?

Today I will beg leave from reason and push a conspiracy theory. I call it a conspiracy because I read a pattern in President Kibaki’s actions. A pattern that suggests a possible manipulation of the 2012 election.

But before I make my argument, allow me to mention Mr Raila Odinga in passing. To repeat myself, I believe Mr Odinga has been set up for failure by the President.

I say so because the Prime Minister can organise people ”against” an idea.

However, he is weak at organising people in ”support” of an idea. This imbalance makes him look like a ”deconstructionist”.

With the cameras on him consistently, he is bound to reveal his true nature.

He actually did so this week. He told reporters to focus on the ”goodies” he brought from India instead of asking ”useless” questions about the maize and oil scandals.

This comment was ill-conceived and in bad taste. And this is why whenever Mr Odinga gets an opportunity to shut up, he must grab it with dear life.

This way, he will have enough time to study President Kibaki’s silent schemes.

Now I must plead temporary insanity and advance my conspiracy theory. For starters, the 2012 election will be rigged. And I say so because nothing has changed.

The players are the same and their motives are intact. In other words, an orange tree cannot bear oranges one year, and bananas the following year.

If nothing has changed, we should not expect them to rig in 2007 and be of good behaviour in 2012. And although both principals are guilty of manipulation in 2007, the man to rig the election in 2012 is the President.

Consider my hypotheses. One, President Kibaki has motive. In fact, his motive is two-fold. During the Moi era, he led the GEMA community for 27 years. They languished in the cold, and their businesses had to fold. Now that they are back, they will protect their turf.

The Kibaki motive, therefore, is to craft a succession that will protect GEMA — at least at face value. And this brings me to his second and real motive. His interest is not GEMA; it is the protection of property. In fact when Mr Uhuru Kenyatta was appointed Finance Minister, I exclaimed aloud “â€|what a joke!” But when I cooled down, it dawned on me that his appointment had only one purpose. The man will not create new wealth; he is there to protect old wealth. Period!

My second hypothesis regards the Kibaki choices and actors. If his motive is to protect wealth, who will execute the brief? Which crony will succeed him?

Is it Mr Kenyatta? My submission is that the propertied are shameless. If Mr Kenyatta is the man to protect their turf, they will install him and swear him in at night if they have to. However, I doubt that he is their choice. More so because Mr Kenyatta himself told us that: “â€| some people claim that I am in the Waki List”. If he is indeed on this list, he will have to climb down from his new high. He will have to resign pending investigations as required by the Waki process. What about Mr Kalonzo Musyoka, the Vice-President?

This man is not wealthy; he is just rich. Riches can be squandered in one generation, but wealth takes generations to exhaust. And because Mr Musyoka does not understand wealth, he cannot be on the Kibaki short list. The same applies to M/s Martha Karua. She is just a peasant from Gichugu; not sufficiently pedigree.

Although she has promise, they view her as nothing but a clever> ”chatterbox”. This leaves us with only one man — Prof George Saitoti. He is Kikuyu and not Kikuyu.

Similarly, he is wealthy and wealthy. But is he acceptable to President Kibaki’s supporters? In my view, this is not important. If they have to beat the GEMA peasants into accepting the good professor, they will. And this brings me to my third hypothesis. If President Kibaki has motive, and a potential successor, what are his methods of executing this plan? He started early. First, he signed the media law.

And on this one, the media owners goofed. One philosopher said “â€|you do not recite poetry to a man carrying a sword: you draw your sword”. The President signed the media law with a pen on one hand and a sword on the other. He was on the war path. But instead of drawing their swords, the media decided to read him some poetry. And, because of this, they lost the initiative and have to negotiate on the President’s terms.

With the media contained, he can impose a successor if he wanted to! His second method of execution relates to ECK. And my take is that ODM was duped into disbanding the commission hurriedly. Although they will appoint the new Independent Commission together, the choice of officials at the commission country-wide will be influenced by Mr Francis Muthaura.

And if this is true, the election bureaucracy will be built to respond to President Kibaki’s schemes. This will make rigging more believable. The third execution method will be force. A curious finding of the Waki Report is that the Administration Police unit had grown exponentially. Expert estimates show that it is now at close to 20,000 or three army brigades. This unit is directly under Prof Saitoti’s command as Minister for Internal Security.

It is the unit they used to fix the rioting mobs last year. The officers in the unit look like robots and are better equipped than the regular police.

My point? If we resist President Kibaki’s successor, why shouldn’t these robots be used to fix us? More so if his motive is real? And now a thought for our striking teachers. Good people “â€| you have nothing to lose except your chains.” You must not give up because the liberation of our country could be in your hands. You have my prayers!