from: GEOFFREY AJIKI
A look at the current events in Kenya leaves one with many a question to ask and at the same time give answers to some of the frequently asked questions.One of the commonly asked questions is who is the most likely candidate to take after Kibaki?
Several people will answer this question diffrently but majority from my luo tribe would certainly give one answer, Raila. May be they could be telling the truth as per their analysis. However,there is little truth to their answer and the earlier they embrace it the better. I want to state categorically that i am not anti Raila or anti Luos as others might suggest. I am a Kenyan from the Luo tribe of which i am very much proud. I am entitled to my opinion and credit this to non other than Raila andd co. who fought to realize this democratic space that we now enjoy.
Back to who is the most likely candidate to take after Kibaki,i would want to make it clear that Raila is the least likely of them all. History has it that of all the three presidents Kenya has ever had, only Kenyatta did not serve as vice president. His was a different case because Kenya had just attained her independence.
Both Mwai Kibaki and Daniel Moi served as vice presidents.If history could repeat itself, then Kalonzo could be the next president.
Another fact that will almost certainly lock Tinga out is the tribe factor.We lack the numbers to win any election in Kenya.Uhuru is sitting pretty because he knows that when it comes to numbers, he has them.
All he needs is to get support from one more tribe and he will be there. The mount Kenya flock is not ready to lose power and would try to retain it at all costs.They want to protect their wealth from the luos whom they describe as arrogant and lazy. As such, they would rather have a Kalonzo or a Eugene at the expense of Raila.
Moi at one time said that KANU will rule for hundred years. If anybody doubted him then look at what is happening to his children whom he nurtured to take after him. They are all together in the so called G7 alliance which would be impossible to beat unless they is a walk out.
We must also admit that as much as we claim that Kenyans are nowadays enlightened,we must appreciate the fact that tribalism is so deeply entrenched that it will take centuries to end. The current and subequent generation of Kenyans carry with them the heavy luggage of tribalism cultivated and harvested by their fore fathers. A young boy born in a luo family would know first thing that Kikuyus are bad people. The asme applies to a Kikuyu. Get to the ground and talk to a five year old kid and you would verify this.
Factors are many but the few mentioned are enough to confirm to you that Tinga is just as far from the presidency as i am.