Category Archives: Political Party

Uganda: Parties scramble for Buganda votes, with only nine months left until the 2011 polls

Reports Leo Odera Omolo in Kisumu City

NINE months to the 2011 elections, political parties are scrambling to win the Buganda vote.

The rush has become more complex with the refusal of the Democratic Party to join the inter-party cooperation (IPC), a loose alliance of opposition parties that are preparing to front a joint presidential candidate.

Strategists in the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM), IPC and DP have been plotting to position candidates in several constituencies within Buganda.

WHY BUGANDA?

Several parliamentarians have told Saturday Vision that the Buganda vote is crucial for any party to win the presidential election and to become influential in parliament.

“Buganda is to any political party what Ohio is to candidates aspiring to be American presidents,” Kyadondo South MP and DP treasurer Issa Kikungwe remarked.

Several politicians from Buganda believe that with Museveni likely to take the west and southeast, Mao likely to take north and FDC likely to take parts of the east, the Buganda vote might determine the winner.

Buganda is also seen as being central a factor in determining the political stability of the country as it is the centre of economic activities.

The parties under the inter-parties cooperation have been promising federo, hoping this will sway voters against the NRM. The Democratic Party is also in support of federo.

The inter-party cooperation is planning to visit the Kabaka on June 9, 2010. The meeting dubbed ‘courtesy call to the Kabaka’ will discuss ways of getting support from Mengo for the IPC flag-bearer in the presidential elections.

DP FACTOR

However, DP, the most dominant opposition party in Buganda, this week announced that they will not join IPC. After a two-day retreat, the DP’s national executive committee argued that past alliances had weakened rather than strengthened it.

They, however, decided that if no single party wins the election with 50% or more, then they will ally with other opposition parties in the re-run.

An inside source told Saturday Vision that from day one of the retreat, members of the party’s executive were divided over the decision whether to join the IPC.

According to the source, key issues that delayed the decision include the split within the party, and what would happen with the DP party president if he was not elected the joint opposition flag bearer. For years, DP has boasted as the oldest, most diplomatic and influential political party.

This was even after its presence in Buganda failed to register the party’s success in the 1996, 2001 and 2006 elections both presidential and parliamentary save for a few seats the party has in the 8th parliament.

The FDC national chairman, Sam Njuba has warned that unless DP accepts to work with other opposition parties in the forthcoming elections, it may not even retain the few seats it has in the house.

DP currently has nine MPs, making it the third strongest party after NRM and FDC. DP parliamentarians include Joseph Balikuddembe (Busiro South), Issa Kikungwe (Kyaddondo South), Lulume Bayiga (Buikwe East), Erias Lukwago (Kampala Central) and Matia Nsubuga, among others.

But the party plans to boost its strength by wooing independent MPs in various constituencies within Buganda and other regions to join the oldest party. “We are going to equip them with techniques for guarding votes and train them on political will for the party.

We shall also equip them with campaign materials that speak and address issues for Buganda,” Kikungwe said.
In Buganda, the party has enjoyed support though it still lags behind NRM.

But the party has been hit by internal wrangles. “While the IPC has missed the seal of the coalition by DP and PPP refusing to join, the NRM ruling party will eventually benefit from the failure of the parties to unite ahead of the 2011 elections,” one of the FDC MPs said.

There is a possibility that the second faction of DP might go ahead and ally with IPC. This would be bad for Mao’s faction since the other faction has some of the most influential DP members.

The faction has names like Betty Namboze and Lulume Bayiga. Several Mengo officials are also sympathetic to the Lulume-Namboze faction.

Like other opposition parties, DP strategists hope to capitalise on the standoff between the central government and Mengo. But they would be naïve to think this will automatically turn voters against the ruling party.

NRM STRATEGY

Since 2001, the NRM has enjoyed an overwhelming wins in Buganda in both presidential and parliamentary elections. To make a dramatic change in 2011 would require a master stroke.

The NRM deputy spokesperson, Ofwono Opondo, argues that what is perceived as a standoff is only a misunderstanding between the ruling party and some individuals in Buganda and not the entire community.

He argues that even in the previous elections such misunderstandings existed but the NRM won. “Remember that NRM has over 72% of the constituencies from Buganda and we are going to retain the same number or get more MPs in the next Parliament,” he said. “The negative elements in Mengo are hiding behind the demand for federo, but there is no single district in Buganda that has passed a resolution supporting federo.”

The NRM also has the majority of the local leaders in Buganda from LC1 to LC5. He says his research shows that the NRM is growing stronger in Buganda. “We are not going to lose them in the elections.”

The NRM plans to continue with grassroots mobilisation locally refered to as kakuyege, in Buganda.

“Our strategy in Buganda is to continue engaging in constructive dialogue with all the groups in Buganda, the elected leaders, cultural leaders and all the other groups.” It also plans to “isolate”

Mengo officials considered as leaning towards the opposition “such that they lack a solid ground where to stand when disseminating negative propaganda against NRM.”

The NRM remains the biggest beneficiary of DP’s refusal to join IPC. Anti-NRM votes in Buganda will be divided between IPC and the two factions of DP. The pro-NRM votes on the other hand, will remain together, at least in the presidential elections.

MENGO MOVE

Men go insiders say Baganda kingdom also wants to have a bigger say in national issues and is therefore fronting candidates for parliamentary elections.

They want Parliament to have a good number of legislators who can articulate Buganda issues.

Sources say Mengo has already identified a number of candidates for this purpose. Mengo information minister Charles Peter Mayiga, for instance, has been linked with the race for Bukoto Central parliamentary seat in Masaka District. The seat is currently being held by Parliamentary speaker Edward Kiwanuka Sekandi.

Other parliamentary aspirants closely linked to Mengo are Uganda Martyrs Namugongo head teacher Dr. John Muyingo, who is eyeing Bamunanika in Luwero district; Medad Lubega for Busiro East and Bagunywa Nkalubo for Lubaga North.

Others are Nakiwala Kiyingi for Kampala Woman and Aloysius Kyeyune Kitikyamuwogo, who is yet to decide on a constituency.

“We need to front candidates who are well acquainted with issues that affect Buganda and Baganda. Our region deserves a new face in Parliament and we need strong advocates for people’s needs,” a source said.

Njuba says Buganda needs a strong fundraising drive in order to support these candidates.

Ends

KENYA: POLITICAL VIOLENCE RAISES ITS UGLY HEAD IN SOUTH MUGIRANGO AS NICHOLAS BIWOTT’S PARTY ASPIRANT IS ATTACKED IN A PUBLIC RALLY.

Reports Leo Odera Omolo In Rongo Town

SYMPTOMS signaling that the forthcoming by-election to fill the vacant South Mugirango parliamentary seat is likely to bread violence were witnessed last Wednesday evening when an aspirant was hit on the head with an object.

Abaga Sagero, and his supporter were beaten up and sustain bodily injuries. Hi8s car sideline and windscreen were also smashed.

He is vying for the by-election on the ticket of the National Vision party of Kenya, which is headed by the former powerful Cabinet Minister Nicholas Kiprono Biwott was attacked at Tabaka Township Secondary School during a well attended public rally.

The incident came only a few hours after the Chief Executive Officer of the Interim Independent Electoral Commission Mr.es Oswago who was visiting the region had issued a stern warning to all the political parties to conduct their campaign peaceful and to avoid inciting their supporter to violence.

Sagero was attacked by people suspected to be supporter of the immediate former area MP Omingo Magara.

Sagero later alleged that Magara who was also in attendance had spat on his face as he went to sit on the podium. an accusation which Magara fiercely denied.

The ugly incident which show Sagero being forcefully ejected out of the venue as punches and blows reignited on him started following his {Sagero} alleging that the cash money which Magara had donated at the meeting did not come from his pocket, but from the CDF kitty.

“This allegation seemed not to have gone down well with the former MP and when I went to sit at the podium , Magara spat on me and started venting blows on me.”

The aspirant further alleged that it was at this point when one of the local CDF committee official hit. But contacted Magara vehemently denied the claims that he had not touched his opponent nor did he spat on him. I did not even touch him. “He was only jeered and booed and forced to cut short his speech because he was maligning people’s names and inciting people to violence.”

Magara said Sagero was only “peacefully ejected out of the meeting venue by the local District Officer {DO} He accused his rival of using sweet words to infuriate his opponents and causing trouble as this would get him sympathy from the electorate.

But the Guicha Police Chief Richard Ng’etich, however, confirmed the incident adding that Sagero had already recorded a statement with the police who in turn have launched investigations.

At the same time Mr Oswago the CEO of the IIEC warned the aspirants that the election code is very clear, and the rule of law must be strictly adhered to. The CEO had travelled to the area in the company of the local election coordinator Sarah Ogaro.

Magara whose election in 2007 was nullified by a High Court Judge at the Kisii law court Justice Masinga on the strength of irregularities committed by the defunct Electoral Commission of Kenya last week ditched the ODM and announced that he would contest the by-election the ticket of the PDP.

Magara, however, made what the ODM local leaders have described as political blunder and excessive arrogance, when he challenged the Prime Minister Raila Odinga for a political duel in South Mugirango.

Local ODM leaders in the constituency says the challenge issued to Raila Odinga to share po9litical platform with him in the region is one of his many political gimmicks, which they predicted will come to0 an end of June 19tyh.

Instead of attacking the Prime Minister, Magara should come home and explain to the electorate what he has done during his close to six years of representation. He should stand up and account for his track record of development instead of having his pipe dream. Magara should also explain the reason why he had parted the company with the leader of F9ord People Simeon Nyachae who is arguably his political mentor.

Magara, they said is not a democrat. He deserted and abandoned the ODM for simple reason. Did not want to go through the normal party nomination process and had even allegedly asked for a direct nomination, a request, which the party leadership had turned down.

His other known predicament was his failure to secure a full cabinet slot in the grand coalition government.” Said one of the ODM aspirant who requested for his anonymity.

Ends

leooderaomolo@yahoo.com

Kenya: Politicians in Luoi-Nyanza are strategising for positions ahead of the constitution referendum vote

POLITICIANS IN LUO-NYANZA HAVE ALREADY STARTED STRATEGISING FOR NEW POSITIONS TO BE CREATED BY THE DRAFT CONSTITUTION IF THE YES CARRIES THE DAY.

News Analysis By Leo Odera Omolo In Awendo Town

AHEAD of the upcoming referendum voting for the draft constitution, some busy bodies and politicians inside Luo-Nyanza are said to be gearing ready to campaign for the competitive positions that will born out of the new constitution should the Yes votes carries the day.

The position expected include those of country governors, country representatives in the tri-cameral parliament, which is expected to create an Upper-House {Senate} and civic wards for the Counties.

Luo-Nyanza is expected to be sub-divided into four different country to be named Homa-Bay, Migori, Central Nyanza and Siaya.

Luio-Nyanza is expected to be sub-divided into three Counties. These will include Migori, which is expected to groups together the districts of Nyatike, Kuria, Migori,Uriri and Rongo into one unit as a county with its administrative headquarters in Migori Town.

The other area is expected to bring together the3 administrative districts of Mbita, Gwassi, Ndhiwa, Rangwe, Rachuonyo South and Rachuonyo north in one unit with Homa-Bat Town as its headquarters.

Central Nyanbza is expected to cover the districts of Nyakach, Nyando, Muhoroni,Kisumu Town and Kisumu West districts with its head office in Kisumu Toiwn,m while the Siaya country is expected to include the districts of Ugenya, Gem, Siaya, Bondo and Rarieda.with the new headquarters reverting to Siaya Town.

The talks of who will represent these countries in the Senate, the personalities considered for the governorship of these counties and civic leaders had dominated the air in recent past, with the names of individual personalities the electorate would like to vote for and send to the Senate.

These discussions have reigned the air in nearly all the social gatherings, in public joints, funeral homes and even inside travelling Matatus. And strangely enough, for the first time, names of leading women personalities have surfaced in these loose talks.

The proponent of the names being floated around are doing so in total disregard with the draft constitution will pass the Yes test or it would be lost in the No during the forthcoming referendum voting scheduled for August this year.

In the proposed Migori County, the names being floated for the position of the region’s Senate seat include those of two former MPs Zablon Owigo Olang’ {Ndhiwa} and George Owino Acholla {Migori}.Other names included that of a former Communication Engineer with the Postal and Communications Service Eng Phillip Makabong’o,Jared Ng’ura, Professor Douglus Odhiambo and the Rev Peter Arunga Indalo.

In the same Migori County people have started linking the name of the retired P.C. Antony Oyier as the man most suitable for the position of the County Governor.

In Homa-Bay region the names of former Karachuonyo MP Dr. Paul Adhu Awiti and the immediate former Rangwe MP Eng. Phillip Okundi are being floated for the Senate seat. But in this region, those with genders in mind are also touching on the names of Mrs Roseline Onyuka the retired educationist who at one time was the Nyanza Provincial Director of Education {PDE} is high on the lips of many people.

IN THE Greater Central Nyanza County,the person whom the people are unanimous about to be send to the Senate is Eng. Maxwell Otieno Odingo, of Otieno Odongo and Partners Engineering Company in Nairobi.Other names include the former cabinet Ministers Wilson Ndolo Ayah and Mathews Onyango Midika, lawyers Aloyce Aboge and David Otieno. Other names included that of Dr. Odera Ongudu a former Registrar of Maseno University and a former Muohoroni Mp Justus Aloo Ogeka.

Also leading the packs of names being suggested for the Senate seat for Siaya County is that of Mrs Grace Ogot, a former Gem MP, Joe Donde, also a former Gem MP,Eng David Maganda a former Chief Road Engineer with the Ministry of Works, the Eldoret based eye specialist Dr. Jorry Odede.

It appears as if many people have very little interests attached to the position of governorship, but with high stake attached to the Senate representation. In this respect, party politics in the elections of personalities to sit on these seats would be negligible, as sub-clans and regions would play an important part. For example if the sitting MP comes from one side of the County, the electorate would wish to see the Senator hailing from the other ends. But strictly not all comes from one sub-clan or a particular community. The proponents of this school of thought argues that there should be some kind of equitable distribution of county jobs, parliamentary and senate representation etc.

Meanwhile the total silences on the part of Luo MPs as regards the on-going Yes and No campaign for the draft constitution is causing a great concern among the electorate. These gentlemen of Parliament did not come out in their true colors mobilizing the population during the just ended registration of voters exercise in Nyanza.

This total silent on the part of Luo MPs has driven some people to suspect them to be either standing on the No side or have become fence-sitters. Even the usually vocal MPs from the region have not be heard saying anything or appealing to the electorate to support whichever side they belonged.

Rumors making the round are that some of the Luo MPs are actually in the No camp which is led by the Higher Education Minister William Ruto. Some of them have spoken, but only gave half-hearted public utterances, and the issue is causing a grave concern within the region. People are confused and wanted to know which side are their MPs.

One cabinet member from the region has completely disappeared from the public eyes and appeared to have gone underground. These Ministers and MPs must come out and be counted from whichever side they choose to be, but their continued sitting on the offence is a matter of grave concerned to the public., pave the way for loose rumors that some of the MPs are on the No side, while their party leader Raila.

Ends

SOUTH MUGIRANGO RESIDENTS HAVE ISSUED A STERN WARNING TO POLITICAL TOURISTS TO STEER CLEAR OF THE AREA DURING THE BY ELECTION CAMPAIGN.

Writes Leo Odera Omolo In Rongo Town.

SOUTH MUGIRANGO constituency will not be fertile and pleasant ground for what the residents have termed as “political tourism” during the electioneering campaign for the by-election scheduled to be held on June 10, 2010.

A clandestine group of youth, which claims to represent all the competing political parties have warned the outsiders to keep of the area, especially during campaign period.

The group was reacting to a press statement issued last Thursday by two ODM MPs from the South Rift region who are allied to the Higher Education Minister William Ruto who had pledged their support for the former area MP Omingo Magara.

The two MPs were Isaac Ruto Chepalungu and Dr. Julius Kones {Konoin}. The statement of the support for Magara issued by the two could even work to the downfall of the former, taking into account that the Kipsigis and the Abagusii communities are known not to be good neighbors.

The two said, “Although the law bars us from campaigning openly for a candidate running on another party, we will give Magara total support.” Kones was quoted by a local media house as having said this, adding, “there are many avenues of helping Magara win 5the seat and we will stand by him because he is a true friend.”

Isaac Ruto on his part said “We have not made a decision as a team, but we will meet soon to plan for Magara’s campaign.”

Ruto further state that ‘Magara deserve an opportunity to defend his seat since the court nullified his elections “because of mistakes made by the defunct Electoral Commission of Kenya and not him.”

“We are aware that the battle will not be easy, but we have the capacity to steer Magara to victory,” he added. The outspoken Chepalungu MP who defiantly ignored the fact that his own party,the ODM has already nominated six aspirants to contest its preliminary nomination.

Local ODM leadership in Soiuth Mugirango have called fore the immediate expulsion of Ruto and Kones by the party headquarters for openly campaigning for another party.

The leaders told the ODM to instill disciplinary in the party at all levels, MPs included. PDP and ODM are two different set of entities and are not affiliated to each other in anyway. “If the two legislators have already ditched ODM, they should say so and resign their parliamentary seats”, said Mr.J.Ombasa, the ODM’s spokesman.

In their anonymous statement, the youths said they would not allow political tourists to go and pollute the political air in South Mugirango. Hey reminded the two Kalenjhin MPs that during the November 2007 campaign fore the general election William Ruto and Magara were made to flee from the area minus their shoes. Ruto lost one of his shoes as they took to their heels with a group of armed Chinkororo militia youths in hot pursuit when the two defiantly ignored the warning by local leaders and made an attempt to attend an Harambee meeting, which was being presided by the Ford People party leader Simeon Nyachae in the area.

“Our people are peaceful, and we want all the aspirant to move about and campaign freely. This will leave the room for the electorate to choose the one they preferred to be a better candidate for the job. But we shall not entertain outsiders to come here and polarize the existing peaceful atmosphere. ”

Meanwhile local says that Magara had stand a good chance of recapturing his seat had he stayed on in the ODM, but his last week defection to a little known PDP has ruined his otherwise good chances of recapturing the seat. He will have to work hared extra time to be able garner enough votes. Facing the populist ODM candidate in the area would be an uphill task.

The ODM board of elections had made it clear that it had any particular in mind it favored for the seat will not be a repeat of the usually flawed party nominations. If the right person clinch the party ticket with satisfaction of other aspirants, who in turn will campaign for the party, then the ODM is the party to watch.

The real battle for the ODM ticket is expected to center around the two aspirants, namely Ibrahim Ochoi the former Uriri High School Principal and Zebedeo Nyaboga. These are the people to watch. But one cannot dismiss the former area MP J. Kombo as a spent force. He is standing on Ford Kenya ticket.

Clan politics is expected to play a pivotal role. Also the ability to provide the election logistics and economic power will also judge the best candidates. Outsiders influence would be rather insignificant, especially the expected intervention by the Higher Education Minister William Ruto is said not to be selling well in the area to match that of his rival the Prime Minister Raila Odinga who is the most popular individual in South Mugirango.

Ends

leooderaomolo@yahoo.com

KENYA: MAGARA DEPARTURE FROM ODM IN HUFF AND THE PARTY’S POOR NOMINATION SYSTEM COULD WORK FOR ITS DOWNFALL IN SOUTH MUGURANGO BY ELECTION.

News Analysis By Leo Odera Omolo In Rongo Town.

As accurately predicted by this writer, Omingo Magara, the outspoken former Trade Assistant Minister has finally officially ditched the Orange Democratic Movement { ODM} for his little known Peoples Democratic Party {PDP}

Magara announced last Friday during a news conference at the Serena Hotel, Nairobi that he has relinquished his position as the party’s national treasurer and a member, and that he would contest the by-election, which is scheduled for June 10 on the PDP ticket.

Magara lost his seat when a Kisii based judge Justice Masinga nullified his election in 2007 citing irregularities.

Reaction from the ODN hierarchy was simple. “He is a good riddance as he was of big liability to the party than being an asset. His loyalty to the party leadership has become suspect ever since the formation of the grand coalition government.

Magara had became disillusioned and frustrated by the fact that the Prime Minister Raila Odinga, who was one of the appointing authorities jointly with President Mwai Kibaki, had offered full cabinet slot to Hon Chris Mogere Obure, the one time Finance Minister in the KANU regime of President Daniel Arap Moi and for many years was KANU operative in Gusii region until he joined the ODM at the last minute in 2007.

As the national treasurer of ODM and its South Mugirango MP for close to five year, Magara felt he was senior enough and deserved full cabinet appointment. His discontent was read on the wall for his total silent and he stopped commenting on comments and issues adversely affecting the party and its leadership.

On one occasion in South Mugirango during a fund drive meting for a school, which was presided by the Higher Education Minister William Ruto in the presence of close to 22 Rift Valley MPs, Magara displayed a group of PDP local leaders and asked the crowd to watch them in the next general election. This message was well received by the ODM leadership as it came while the Prime Minister Raila Odinga the party MPs from Gusii region were conducting a campaign rally during hr Bomachoge by-election, which Magara shunned.

Magara, according to local sources, is banking his hope for his chances in clinching his former seat on the numeracy of his Bosinange sub-clan, the largest in the area. The sub-clan has single handed registered more than 15,000 voters in the current voters registration exercise. The registered voters from this particular sub-clan are believed to have been in excess of 15,000.

In the 2007, South Mugirango constituency had registered over 41,000 voters, but the given the fact with the hasty speed with which the current registration exercise has been done, many people appeared to have been left out, and the number could end up being far much less about 34,000 or 36,000 only.

IN apparent reference to the Prime Minister Raila Odinga, the ODM party leader Magara regretted that he was leaving the party that he had worked hard for to built has been reduced to a one man show,

In his departure’s kick, Magara had rubbished the ODM as a party which” lack tolerant leadership. It is dictatorial party,”

‘It is not tolerant to divergent views, but only rewards mediocrity, primitive loyalty and cheap talk, which I could not belong to,” Magara said

“As a result I want to announce to the people of South Mugirango and the natio0n at large that I have rendered my resignation as a treasurer and member No.8 of the ODM as per the provision of section 17[2] of Political parties Act.’he said adding, It was painful decision but he had to make it.”

Magara further alleged the ODM leadership had hatched plan to rig him out of the party membership a move, which he says prompted him to defect to avoid being humiliated.’

But a source on the ground accused Magara for having built so many enemies within the constituency, especially among the ODM members due to his alleged heavy handedness in handling local political and administrative matters. Therefore he had no chance of winning the party’s primary even if he had stayed on.

One issue that could possibly work in favor of Magara is that ODM must nominate a credible and respected candidate and a fair and transparent preliminary. Most of those who have taken up the party nomination paper hails from almost one clan or inter-related sub-clans under the umbrella Nyaramba that5 groups smaller clans such as Nyataro, Ruora, Bwomuony that forms Getenga sub-clans. If the party nomination is conducted in a transparent manner that would cause discontent or dissenting views, within the ODM camp. It should conduct in a manner that would satisfy every aspirant loser or winner then the entire losers would support the winner and this would be to the disadvantage of Magara.

A slightest mistake that would witness the flawed by-election has it has happened in other by-elections involving the ODM would witness mass defection by the electorate and support for other parties.

Already there is widespread rumor and allegation making the round that one of the aspirants Ibrahim Ochoi has been given direct nomination from the party headquarters. This dreadful rumor is deliberately meant to cut Ochoi into size simply because he is considered as one of the strongest aspirants on who is likely to clinch the party ticket after the nomination.

Another strong aspirant if the former KINUT treasurer in Gucha South branch of KNUT Zebedeo Nyaboga, another educationist Henry Nyabuto9, Eng.Gideon Moreka. Kepher Marube and lawyer David Okachi.

One good thing is that these entire aspirants are men of substantive life style and economic ability to finance their own election campaign without being sycophants of anybody.

Rumor making the round is alleging that Magara are livened up with million of shillings donated to him by the Ruto camp, and that his campaign machine would be much oiled. But there was a chest thumping from the ODM source that maintains that after the preliminaries, the party would make resources and campaign logistics available to9 much Magara’s millions.

Magara is facing an uphill task to explain to the electorate what he has done fore them in all the six years he has been in Parliament. He lacked the clean track record of development activities, and his opponent would particularly exploit this to the maximum.

There is a group of residents and voters who have come out in full force support of the Prime Minister Raila Odinga over the allegation that he had shortchanged Magara,and did not appoint him to the cabinet. The group says the appointing authority was President Kibaki and perhaps the President who had worked together with Obure in the previous KANU administrations could have single handedly chosen Obure fore the job. The question of political seniority also matters. Obure is an illustrations and astute politician whose status is far beyond comparison with the politically insignificant Magara a political novice.

Other parties like PNU, KANU, Ford People, Ford Kenya, ODM-Kenya,Kenda are also processing applicants for their candidates and the field appeared to be heading for a highly crowded election field.

Ends

leooderaomolo@yahoo.com

Kenya: Raira is the man to beat in Meru

forwarded by Kuria-Mwangi

http://www.kuria-mwangi.blogspot.com
http://www.facebook.com/kjmwangi

– – – – – – – – – – –
By MAORE ITHULA

That President Kibaki is headed for retirement in 2012 when his second term expires is not in doubt, but the reality may be a hard pill for many Meru voters.

During an interview with a cross-section of leaders from the region last week, The Standard on Sunday established the situation on the ground is that of uncertainty, and most MPs prefer to remain silent on many national issues for political self-preservation.

Njuri Ncheke Council of Elders Chairman Paul M’Ethingia concedes residents are politically confused.

Due to this, he says, the council is taking steps to give the community direction in time for the 2012 General Election.

“Yes, there is political uncertainty and we are meeting to map out a strategy. Even now, I’m in a meeting and cannot make detailed comments on this issue until we are through with consultations.”

Mr Phares Ruteere, the council’s secretary, says the elders are working round the clock in search of a way forward.

Voting pattern

Ruteere says: “Yes, it is true that people from this area are like headless chicken now that Kibaki is retiring. Everybody is on his/her own. Anybody with a national outlook can get votes from the larger Meru today. After 10 years, I’m sure people will vote with their conscience come the next General Election.”

Traditionally, the council has always leaned towards the Government. Even during the Kanu era, when Kibaki’s DP had the Meru region as its political bedrock, Njuri Ncheke elders could not sway voting pattern.

While it is widely believed the Ameru always vote with their Kikuyu cousins, leaders from the area say Meru voters have always had a soft spot for Kibaki and not any politician from Central Province can win their support. Tigania West MP Kilemi Mwiria, who is also Education Assistant Minister, sees the situation a little differently. He says the Meru electorate will obviously vote with their conscience and none of the presidential aspirants — Prime Minister Raila Odinga, Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka and Finance Minister Uhuru Kenyatta — can get majority vote from the region.

“It is clear people of this region are actually in political disorder. In the prevailing situation, each of the three top contenders (Raila, Uhuru and Kalonzo) have a significant fraction of sympathisers. However, I cannot say which one among them would be a clear winner if elections were called today. Come 2012, the outcome will be determined by how each of them will conduct their campaigns.”

Former Tharaka MP Murago Mwenda is confident Raila will take the Tharaka vote.

He says: “I have been watching politics of Meru and Central Province alliances for a long time. Ameru are always taken for granted by Central politics. Apart from Imenti, I do not think there is a Mumeru who will vote alongside Central Province in future. Actually, Mt Kenya becomes flat every time there is a political issue affecting our cousins. But when there is something beneficial, the mountain grows tall to separate the two communities. This must end.”

Former Igembe MP Joseph Muturia says Meru voters have always supported Kibaki because he is “an admirable neighbour”.

Rights activist-cum-politician Thiakunu Mwirabua of Ntonyiri constituency agrees. He says residents of the larger Meru are likely to be uncomfortable with voting even for Uhuru Kenyatta.

The medic says: “Uhuru is from the same region as Kibaki. However, I do not think he will inherit Kibaki votes from this area come the next elections.”

Mr Cyprian Kubai, a retired banker and businessman, concurs. Says Kubai: “I dare say Kibaki’s votes will be taken by Prime Minister Raila Odinga at least if elections are called today. My view is borne out of sheer reality rather than partisan politics because I’m a local businessman who meets people regularly.”

Imenti Central MP Gitobu Imanyara is even bolder. He says although he does not necessarily believe Raila will be the most popular in the area come 2012, the PM is the person to beat for presidential votes in Meru.

However, Imanyara goes further to point out although the Ameru are politically lonely for entirely different reasons, central Kenya voters are equally forlorn because it is clear none of their own will make it to State House in the next polls.

Political landscape

Says Imanyara: “People from this region did not vote for Kibaki because he is a Kikuyu. They did so for the person. Otherwise, why did they not vote for Kenneth Matiba as a bloc in 1992 when it was the case in Central?”

Lawyer David Pius Mugambi, a former Imenti South parliamentary candidate, says for the first time, people from the region have changed their mindset to support a person from a different region.

Says he: “From my observation, I have established that the youth are changing the political landscape in Meru. If Raila’s name will be on the ballot paper on the presidential slot in the next elections, people from this area will vote for him.”

Mugambi cites Raila’s tour of Meru last month as an indication of growing support for the PM.

NIGERIA: BUHARI, ATIKU, GO AND REST

By NAIWU OSAHON

All our military heads of state were largely insensitive, corrupt, almost illiterate, self-appointed tyrants who seized their stripes of honour (dishonour is probably more appropriate) through coups rather than the rigours of formal training, experience or war. Each one of the military heads of state simply got up from bed one chosen morning, pistil on the hip, jackboots on the ready to besmear our constitution to loot our treasury to their hearts content. Of course, they soon made up on the job for their lack of proper war or soldiering experience by detaining, tear gassing, shooting and bombing citizens protesting against their high-handedness and misrule. Everyone of our coup Generals aspired to be the richest lazy fool in the world sitting like an over-fed baboon atop the tallest tree in our devastated and rotting vineyard, savouring their exploits amidst squalor, hunger and decaying corpses. General Muhammadu Buhari was one of such military head of state.

On the 31st December, 1983, Buhari struck, under the cover of the political commotion that trailed the Presidential election results of the time. In reality, power was seized for the opportunity to destroy documents relating to the NNPC’s missing US$2.8 billion oil money, and punish all those involved in unraveling the scam. Politicians and critics, including Fela Anikulapo-Kuti, notorious for clamouring for the exposure of the oil money rogue Minister of Obasanjo’s military epoch, were locked up without trial. Buhari’s regime had a penchant for incarcerating all and sundry. Satire saved my neck at the time.

Not much is known about Buhari’s family background. Not a great deal has been heard about his educational qualifications either. As head of state, he was a recluse to the core. At least, that was the image he portrayed. His deputy, the late Gen. Idiagbon, was considered by most Nigerians to be the star of Buhari’s regime. It is to Idiagbon that any credit due to that regime is generally attributed. Idiagbon was the defacto head of state. He was honest, upright, disciplined, and like Murtala Muhammed before him, he succeeded briefly in introducing order and sanity to our lives.

Nigeria was already a failed state economically when Buhari seized government from Shagari in December 1983. We had a staggering foreign debt load of US$18 billion, so Buhari stopped all further borrowing, and in defiance of the IMF and World Bank, pegged the exchange rate of the naira at one to the US$1.50. He put a ceiling on the amount of foreign exchange earnings to be used in servicing foreign debts, and after sorting out and rejecting the dubious foreign debts in our portfolio, paid off nearly 50% of the genuine debts by the end of his regime in 1985.

Buhari’s regime maintained a vibrant foreign policy with Africa as its principal focus, and it strongly resisted the IMF. The regime’s fight against corruption is exemplified by the crating of Umaru Dikko to airfreight back to Nigeria from London.

Buhari generally had no agenda for leadership but vendetta against those he called critics and rabble-rousers. After consigning the vexatious matters that brought him to power, to administrative oblivion with the help of Shinkafi, his Secret Service guru, Buhari announced his readiness to quit office.

Idiagbon, as Buhari’s lieutenant, naturally insisted on taking over as head of state from his apparently prematurely retiring boss. Babangida, who was Chief of Army Staff at the time and a member of the Supreme Military Council, insisted it was his turn to rule because he had been involved in virtually every military coup up to that time. The quarrel split the Supreme Military Council members almost equally behind the two principal combatants and eventually led to the overthrow of Buhari’s regime.

Abacha rehabilitated Buhari with the chairmanship of the Petroleum Trust Fund (PTF) before he (Abacha) died in 1998. When Obasanjo returned to power in May 1999, he found that over 2.5 billion naira had not been properly accounted for in the PTF and that there was not much on the ground to show for the colossal expenditure the agency was claiming. On the day Obasanjo announced the scrapping of the PTF, a non-staff brother-in-law of Oga, allegedly serving as his conduit on some PTF projects, died suddenly from what appeared to be heart failure.

Buhari has no respect for democracy. Under his behest, the ANPP humiliated five highly respected South-Eastern Presidential aspirants at their primary for the 2003 presidential election despite having Dr. Okadigbo as Buhari’s running mate. Buhari definitely was not a sellable presidential candidate across Nigeria. What happened was that the incumbent ANPP governors needed a Buhari to help them hold on to their states on religious grounds. After rigging his party’s primary to become its presidential candidate, Buhari felt he was on moral grounds to preach election morals to the world. He ignored the South-West completely in his campaigns, as if it did not exist, and offered the South-South, the unattractive, legally diminished constitutional option on derivation. To rob salt into injury, he threatened to swap NDDC with PTF. If he wasn’t playing with words, he betrayed his selfish ethnic agenda because we all knew what happened in his PTF. The little he achieved was focused in his backyard.

Even in the area of public debate, Buhari was not articulate or detribalized and he lacked charisma. He ignored all entreaties to explain his programmes to the ‘bloody civilians.’ Arrogant and condescending, he was unable to climb down from his high horse as a former military dictator. Infused with the moribund myth that Nigerian leadership was the sole property of his ethnic group, he assumed he could cow the rest of us with a jihad. If that failed, some said, military coup was a possibility because a kaferi must not continue to rule. He concentrated his campaign (if it could be called that, because he said very little at every stop), in the North-East and North-West of the country. The little he said, was only in the Hausa language to titillate the warrior nerves of his jihadist gang.

As for ABUBAKAR ATIKU, the accusation in 1999/2000 that the president’s deputy, Atiku Abubakar, privatized Nigeria Incorporated to himself was not investigated because Obasanjo’s third term ambition was not strong at the time. Atiku denied ownership of African Petroleum (AP), which in the end turned out to be a bobby trap, laced with huge hidden debt, and was re-acquired by the government through the NNPC. However, Atiku was seen as a product of the Nigerian corrupt system. He retired as a boss of the Customs several years ago, an agency of government that reeks with corruption. There were some spats over contracts for the communications target for the 8th All African Games in 2003, in Abuja, and the issue of bunkering crookedness, and illegal rents collected on crude oil lifting, which Obasanjo largely scuttled in the heat of his tenure elongation project in March 2006.

In August 2005, and early 2006, we heard of US security operatives raiding Atiku’s home in Washington, USA, over allegation of involvement with Mr. William Jefferson, a member of the US Congress, in a US $500,000 bribe over a telecommunications deal in Nigeria. In mid May 2006, the FBI claimed in a US court to have found US $90,000, of the bribe money concealed in a freezer in the office of Mr. Jefferson. Mr. Jefferson who at the time was claiming to have been duped by some Nigerians, had, in fact, collected $6.5 million from one Otumba Oyewole Fasawe, the Nigerian behind the Netlink Digital Television (NDTV) private business that Jefferson was contracted to supply with technology and failed. Jefferson had with great difficulty, and after a lot of pressure, managed to refund only $1.7 million of the $6.5 million he had received, at the time he was screaming foul-play against his swindled Nigerian partners. Mr. Vernon Jackson, Jefferson’s agent on the NDTV scam, was jailed in the USA in September 2006, for seven years over the deal.

The Petroleum Development Trust Fund (PDTF), under the supervision of Vice President Atiku, had apparently been used to finance the NDTV business and Globacom. On May 31, 2006, the US government, in reaction to public speculation in Nigeria, denied having cleared Atiku of involvement in the NDTV fraud. Early in June 2006, Atiku was again alleged in a US court, where further hearing was continuing, to have been involved in the bribery scandal. In mid July 2006, the EFCC went to a bank and collected statements on Atiku’s current accounts.

On Thursday 7th September 2006, the Senate President read in the Nigerian Senate, a letter from President Obasanjo accompanying some documentary evidence, alleging conspiracy, fraudulent conversion of funds, corrupt practices, and money laundering, against the Vice President. The submission, which was for the information of the Upper House, claimed that the President, acting on information received from the USA government, set up an administrative panel to investigate the allegations against Vice President Atiku.

The report of the panel, along with the findings of the EFCC, claimed that the Vice President utilized for private purposes, funds put in a fixed deposit account for the Petroleum Development Trust Fund (PDTF), a department of government under his care. In essence, the Vice President was acting as money lender with government money for personal profit. US$10 million of the US$125 million fund was clearly used as collateral in support of a loan of N1.2 billion granted to Otumba Oyewole Fasawe by the Trans International bank in Lagos.

The financial gain made by the Vice President from Fasawe over the loan was paid into Atiku’s Campaign Organization account with Bank PHB. Umar Pariya, Atiku’s aide, acted as the go between on the transaction. The balance of US$115m of the PDTF money was transferred in April 2003, for reasons unconnected to PDTF activities, to Guarantee Trust Bank belonging to Dr. Mike Adenuga, the Vice president’s friend and Chairman of Globacom. The fund’s transfer, like the US$10 million withdrawn from it earlier, was done without the required recourse to the Federal Executive Council (FEC). Argument by the Vice President that the US$115m was put in Adenuga’s bank eight months after Globacom’s operating license was paid for or that no money was lost, does not alter the fact that the fund was moved without FEC’s awareness and for purposes unrelated to PDTF projects, including possible attempt to cushion Globacom over an urgent business deal or external debt repayment pressures for personal profit.

The Vice president’s defense at the time sounded like: “I am guilty but I shared my illicit gains with the President and my party, the PDP.” The Vice President, now politically dead, alleged that the President’s profits from the messy deals included N3 billion directly; their joint billions of Naira campaign fund; N100 million made to the president’s IBAD construction company; N11 million given to his Bell Comprehensive High School to buy buses; N200 million used to clear some of the president’s debts; N100 million contributed to his campaign fund; ugly arms deal scams; funds given to his African Leadership Forum and to buy cars for women (married or not), he was ensnaring to his bed etc; N500 million made available to the campaign chest of the PDP….

On Tuesday October 3, 2006, Chief Dan Etete, a Petroleum Resources Minister in General Abacha’s regime, opened a can of worms on the Vice President’s ugly oil deals, and how INTELS, (a company in which the VP had substantial interest and shared ownership with two Italians, Messrs Gabriel Volpi, and Angello Perruzi, and a Switzerland based lawyer called Lugano), sold a piece of land on the water front in Port-Harcourt to Shell for US$100m. The VP, using INTELS, and (Pecos Nigeria Limited, a business front of Otunba Oyewole Fasawe), blackmailed and pounced on 50% of Malabo’s oil bloc 245. Then with the connivance, treachery, and crookedness of Shell, the Anglo Dutch Oil giant, stole the entire bloc 245 from Malabo at US$210m profit to the Vice president and his business cronies. Using similar tricks, the VP’s INTELS and Associates cornered 20% stake in oil bloc 247 belonging to another party.

The VP’s defense was that Atete should not be taken seriously because he was in exile after “supervising the collapse of Nigeria’s refineries…. and that Etete stole over US $5bn from the public treasury and allocated the oil bloc in question to himself when he was Minister of Petroleum Resources.” That during the scam in question and since, the Petroleum Ministry has been under the firm grip of the President, “all by himself, these last seven and half years. Every Nigerian is literate to the fact that all enquiries on oil and related matters go to the president’s desk….. When the big masquerade behind Etete is courageous enough to come out, the Vice president will respond.” What this means in essence is that others not mentioned in Etete’s report profited along with the VP from the loot. Atiku, a political prostitute without ideology, principles or discipline, peddles his selfish personal ambition without qualms back and forth in political parties, pushed on by a handful of mucking cheerers hoping he would realize in good time that his nuisance value is only being tolerated.

The way forward for Nigeria’s development and success, is for Goodluck Jonathan to become president, come 2011, if he performs well as acting president because Nigeria is in dire need of good leaders. We need to marry the rotational presidency principle with some amount of merit or laudable performance in office. The PDP, which is currently in power, should limit the rotational concept to the first term in office. The second term should be thrown open to competition between the incumbent and candidates from the alternative geopolitical zone, in party primaries. Two terms in office would then no longer be guaranteed and would largely depend on performance in office the first time. Opposition to the second term in office of a leader who has performed well in the first term, is likely to be muffled. This is because all party members ride on the goodwill of the masses enjoyed by such a good leader, to win their respective elections.

A good leader has no hiding place in society. Take Gov. Fashola of Lagos State currently, for instance. Only a fool from within his own party would seriously try to undermine his return for a second term because all members of his party stand to gain by his success, to win elections. For any of the two geopolitical zones to enjoy two consecutive terms in office as a result of this arrangement, therefore, each zone would begin to go out of its way to put its best brains forward every time. Second term in office would then become a reward for good performance, both for the incumbent and for his or her geopolitical zone.

This would mean that if Jonathan performs well in the next couple of months as acting president, he would deserve to have a short at the presidency in 2011 on a rotational presidency basis. His second term in 2015 would not be guaranteed and would be thrown open to competition between him and candidates from the northern zone. If he wins his second term, it would mean he has performed well in his first term and the rotational principle would come into force again after that. That way, the friction between merit and rotational presidency would be greatly reduced and a geopolitical zone that fails to get a second consecutive term in office would have its self and its candidate’s performance in office to blame. The beauty of this arrangement is that the best candidates would begin to be thrown forward to rule and move us forward as a people. Let’s call this the Romerit principle.

NAIWU OSAHON Hon. Khu Mkuu (Leader) World Pan-African Movement); Ameer Spiritual (Spiritual Prince) of the African race; MSc. (Salford); Dip.M.S; G.I.P.M; Dip.I.A (Liv.); D. Inst. M; G. Inst. M; G.I.W.M; A.M.N.I.M. Poet, Author of the magnum opus: ‘The end of knowledge’. One of the world’s leading authors of children’s books; Awarded; key to the city of Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Honourary Councilmanship, Memphis City Council; Honourary Citizenship, County of Shelby; Honourary Commissionership, County of Shelby, Tennessee; and a silver shield trophy by Morehouse College, USA, for activities to unite and uplift the African race.


Naiwu Osahon, renowned author, philosopher of science, mystique, leader of the world Pan-African Movement..

Kenya: Battle for the South Mugirango seat has began in earnest with Magara position remaining a mystery

NEWS Analysis by Leo Odera Omolo In Rongo Town.

The forthcoming by-election in South Mugirango is expected to be a litmus test for the Orange Democratic Movement {ODM},the party which is perceived to be having more following in the constituency.

The dagger is drawn for the By-election which is scheduled for June 10,2010 and this time round the residents says they expect the Interim Electoral Commission of Kenya will do its best to ensure that it is not flawed.

The event of the last few days, however, are signaling the signs of confusion. Omingo Magara one of the leading contenders for the seat did not show up at the Orange House last Thursday to collect his nomination paper, sending the strong rumor in the area that the former South Mugirango legislator, who is also the national treasurer of the party, has defected and would be seeking the nomination on another party’s ticket.

Other information making the round were that Omingo Magara had lost his younger brother Titus Magara, who died on Wednesday, and as such was held up at home on serious family matter. So he could not have managed to travel to Nairobi the following day in order to beat the party’s deadline for those intending to contest the by-election on the party’s ticket to collect their nomination papers.

The deadline, was however, extended from Thursday to Sunday evening by the party board of election, which is headed by Eng Phillip Okoth Okundi as its chairman and Dr. Joseph Misoi as its secretary. And Magara was still expected to visit the Orange House during the extended deadline to pick up his nomination papers.

The by-election in South Mugirango this time round is expected to take different political dimension, with clan politics likely to take the center stage. If the election campaign takes the direction of clan rivalries, then political parties will be rendered impotent, irrelevant and useless.

This agriculturally rich rural constituency has two major competing clans and numerous smaller sub-clans. The major clans are Bosinange and Botabori. Magara belong to Botabori clan, while his other credible opponent Ibrahim Ochoi, the former Uriri Secondary School Principal is a member of Botabori clans. Both Magara and Ochoi are the two leading contenders.

But Magara has one weakness on the ground. That is the lack of track record for initiating any tangible development project to his credit ever since he stepped into the shoes of his late younger brother Nyakieya Magara, a populist former Kisii lawyer who had won the seat on a Ford Peoples party ticket in 2002. But he died in a road accident after representing the area for a brief period of two years.

Omingo Magara, who was then a civil servant with obscure political background, resigned from the public service, contested in the by-election and won popular votes. But it did not take long before Magara burned the bridges with Simeon Nyachae, the Ford Peoples party boss, man who had vigorously campaigned for him.

Magara then joined Raila Odinga’s ODM Bandwagon after ditching Nyachae’s party and was re-elected to Parliament in 2007. Magara, however developed cold feet towards Raila Odinga soon after the formation of the grand coalition in what was suspected that Raila Odinga’s mistake for not appointing him to a full cabinet position. Instead Raila brought on board Chris Mogere Obure, the Bobbasi MP and the former Minister in Moi’s last KANU regime, who had just crossed from KANU to ODM. Magara felt he was the senior most party official from the Gusii region and such he deserved a full cabinet position.

Although Magara was made an Assistant Minister for Trade, he appeared to have become disillusioned and stopped his previous defense of Raila whenever “Agwambo” came under attack from other quarters. He started flirtation with the Eldoret North MP William Ruto quarters as he used to do.

But the disagreement between the two burst into the open during the campaign in the Bomachoge By-election after the area MP Joel Onyancha had his election nullified by the High court at Kisii. The entire ODM national office went to Southern Kisii and vigorously campaigned for Simon Ogari, who eventually beat Onyancha who had down and robbed the PNU of one of its vital seat in Gusii region. Magara, who was expected to lead the ODM campaign, declined to do so.

On one particular occasion, while Raila Odinga and other party officials from the headquarters and local MPs from Abagusii community came out in full force and attended the largest campaign rally at Kenyenya District headquarters in the neighboring Bomachoge constituency, Magara was hosting William Ruto with close to 12 Kalenjin MPs from the Rift Valley in his South Mugirango constituency, only a few kilometers from the rally venue. Raila was made to be aware of the Magara-Ruto function in the neighborhood, but he steered clear of making any reference. The ODM clinched the Bomachoge seat.

And from that on South Mugirango constituency became awash with rumor that Magara had already ditched Raila Odinga and that the two ODM supremos had parted the company in the same fashion and style he had burned his bridges with Nyachae before crossing into the ODM.

Magara stands very little chance of winning the South Mugirango seat on another party ticket. And by doing so he would be digging his own political grave. The area is an ODM stronghold.

Manson Nyamweya, the man who had petitioned the court agaist Magara is also in the race, but on a Ford People party. He had contested the election in 2007 on the same ticket, but performed poorly. And he is expected not to improve much, due to the reported allegation that his popularity has waned drastically, and lack of physical backing by the Ford People leadership. However, this time around there is a strong rumor that Nyachae intend to contest the Gusii region’s Senate seat. Perhaps this could force him come out and address a few rallies in favor of Nyamweya that could turn things upside down for Magara and other aspirants, due to the fact that Nyachae is still highly respected by the majority of the Abagusii people.

The popularity of the ODM in South Mugirango could easily be assessed by the largest number of aspirants seeking the party ticket for nomination to contest the seat. Its ticket as attracted the largest number of contestants.

Among the aspirants who had already taken the ODM nomination papers include Ibrahim Ochoi, the retired High School Principal and the man who is expected to give Magara a run for his money, David Moreka, a university lecturer, Kepher Marube, the KNUT Executive Secretary in Gucha branch, Zebedeo Nyaboga, a retired educator, Henry Nyabuto Ogeto and a youthful Kisii lawyer David Okachi.

Other potential candidates include Manson Nyamweya [Ford Peoples] John Ondora[KANU] Ezekiel Okengo [Narc Kenya] Rashid Miyonga {PNU} and the former one time area MP David Kombo [Ford-Kenya}.

SOUTH Mugirango is bordering several constituencies like Rongo to the southwest Bonchari to the North, Bobassi to the Northeast ,Bomachoge to the South and Kilogirs West to the SouthEast.The constituency is the one hosting the famous Kisii soapstone carvings, which are attract tourists and commonly found in Hotels the world over. The soapstone mines are located near Tabaka Roman Catholic Mission Hospital. It is rich in sugarcane production, coffee, tea, maize and other cash crops.

The area is also prone to cattle rustling due to its proximity the Kisii –Maasai and Kisii -Luo borders. And thus the ever presence of the outlawed ‘Chinkororo “militia youths.

Issues likely to dominate the election campaign in the area include CDF, poor roads and infrastructure. Laxity on the part of the former MP Magara and his alleged poor relations with the electorate, th9ugh he plays the blame games, saying it is the case of some Minister from Nyanza ganging u against him

Ends

UGANDA: BEHIND THE SCENE AT THE OPPOSITION FDC PARTY DELEGATES CONFERENCE.

Writes Leo Odera Omolo

FORUM for Democratic Change (FDC) on Thursday re-affirmed that they want Rtd. Col. Kizza Besigye to tussle it out once again with President Yoweri Museveni in the 2011 elections, about 10 months from now.

Norbert Mao shakes hands with Besigye

DP president Norbert Mao shakes hands with Besigye at the conference

Out of 937 registered voters for the national delegates’ conference, 845 (84%) voted for Besigye, while a paltry 115 (16%) voted for Muntu.

Nomination drama

A total of five candidates had initially picked nomination forms for the party’s flag-bearer but only two candidates managed to traverse the country for the post.

Originally, Kizza Besigye, Mugisha Muntu, Francis Atugonza, Mukalazi Kibuuka and Buga Meya showed up for the post.

However, Kibuuka was delayed by his bankers and could not turn in the sh2.5m nomination fee, according to Dan Mugarura, the party’s electoral commission chairman.

Buga Meya missed a bus from Arua and by the time he arrived in Kampala, nominations were closed.

Atugonza stepped down for Besigye, leaving the competition between the two former army chiefs.

But some delegates doubt whether the others were serious contenders and suspect that their role was to give the process a semblance of wider competition.

Delegates also wondered whether the alleged stepping down of Atugonza for Besigye was not a calculated move to tilt the ground in Besigye’s favour.

Forged delegates ’ cards

At least eight people who were peddling forged delegates cards, were arrested.

There were also allegations of attempts to rig the elections.

This prompted party chairman Sam Njuba to appeal to the delegates to listen to their conscience and not accept to be derailed. “There have been allegations of bribery and rumour mongering, but you should know that some of us left the Movement because of these,” he said.

Besigye , Muntu tussle it out

The delegates witnessed a rather rare opportunity when the two political heavyweights held a 30-minute final leg to win the favour of the delegates.

A coin was tossed, giving Besigye a chance to address the delegates first. From an observer’s view point, one could tell that the majority of the delegates supported Besigye because he received a louder applause. In his address, Besigye dwelt more on his previous performance and what he has done to bring FDC to the limelight.

Muntu repeatedly told the delegates that even if he did not become the party’s flag-bearer, he would rally behind Besigye in promoting the ideals of the party. This left his supporters confused, most of whom were weary of his soft, non-combative approach.

MPs Kamya , Onzima expulsion

At the peak of the event, when everyone was waiting for the winner, the FDC secretary general, MP Alice Alaso, officially announced the dismissal of MPs Beti Kamya and Alex Onzima from the party.

The party’s national executive committee, she announced, had passed a resolution to expel them from FDC but left the final decision in the hands of the delegates’ conference.

The two failed to turn up last week when they were summoned by the party disciplinary committee.

The party national chairman, MP Sam Njuba, asked the delegates to decide whether to expel them, to which the entire house consented. “Since the delegates have responded overwhelmingly, I have no power to reverse the decision,” Njuba said. “The two MPs, Beti Kamya and Alex Onzima, are no longer members of FDC,” Kamya is accused of forming her own political party, the Uganda Federal Alliance (UFA), under which she said she would contest for the presidency in 2011.

Onzima is accused of speaking ill of FDC while courting President Museveni in West Nile.

Inter-Party dialogue The delegates’ conference also adopted the Inter-Party Organization Dialogue that brings together all political parties.

Since the signing of the memorandum of understanding between the opposition and the ruling party, the six political parties have held a series of meetings discussing the electoral law reforms and the Presidential Elections Amendment Bill. The parties involved are the ruling NRM, the Conservative Party (CP), the Democratic Party (DP), FDC, JEEMA and the Uganda Peoples’ Congress (UPC).

FDC is also a member of the opposition coalition, the Inter-Party Cooperation (IPC), which has agreed to field a joint opposition candidate.

The party flag-bearers still have a challenge to tussle it out with other opposition candidates in the IPC coalition. The DP, which has in the past expressed skepticism about the coalition, has indicated that they might still join the group.

Observers at Thursday’s conference also attributed Besigye’s victory to his a strong advocacy for the coalition.

This was boosted by the presence of the other opposition party leaders, Norbert Mao (DP), Olara Otunnu (UPC), John Ken Lukyamuzi (CP) and Kibirige Mayanja (JEEMA).

Latigo ’s surprise

Shortly after Muntu concluded his address, the Leader of the Opposition in Parliament, Ogenga Latigo, walked in, spurring more applause.

Latigo had been recovering from an accident. “I am happy Besigye has become the party flag-bearer because he is the solid candidate for 2011. When Muntu’s time comes, we shall give him what he deserves,” Latigo said. “If all elections in Uganda were like this, voters would cast their votes and report peacefully to work after a free, open and transparent election.”

In conclusion the delegates’ conference was a turning point for the party. It acted as the end of the first party president and gave him another chance to try his his luck against Museveni

Ends

Uganda: Opposition leader questioned by police over his remarks about the alleged sale of Lake Kyoga to S.Africa

Reports Leo Odera Omolo In Kisumu City

FORUM for Democratic Change (FDC) leader Col Kizza Besigye, in a surprise move, yesterday presented himself to the CID headquarters in Kibuli Kampala. He was interrogated by senior detectives for about four hours for allegedly saying the Government has sold Lake Kyoga to South Africans.

In Arua district, Besigye reportedly urged his supporters to break the thumbs of the ruling NRM party supporters if they flash their thumbs-up symbol publicly. Trhe NEWVISION reported today

Besigye, who a day earlier, had snubbed the Police summons, arrived at 10:25am in his Toyota Prado, accompanied by lawyer Yusuf Nsibambi. He was not done until 1:25pm.

Two other lawyers, David Mpanga and Ernest Kalibala, arrived earlier and were present as Besigye answered questions from the investigators.

The opposition leader is accused of making the “inflammatory” allegations at political rallies in the districts of Amolatar, Arua and Mpigi.

Top FDC party official such as Salaamu Musumba, Alice Alaso and Dr. Francis Epetait,were present during the interrogation.

Former army commander Mugisha Munutu, who will be competing for the party presidency against Besigye today, also turned up.

As the interrogation went on, tension gripped supporters when rumours erupted that the Police would detain Besigye and take him to Amolatar to face charges.

On Besigye’s arrival at Kibuli, chaos erupted when his supporters overpowered the Police and made their way into the building where he was being questioned.

However, CID deputy director for investigations Moses Sakira ejected the group from the building.

When Besigye was allowed to go, the supporters gathered at the party headquarters in Najjanankumbi on Entebbe road, erupted into celebrations. They were preparing for the delegates conference in Kampala tomorrow.

“Party members were worried that their president would again be nominated while in detention like it was in 2006,” said national chairman Sam Njuba.

Commenting on what happened during the interrogation, Besigye said: “I recorded three charge and caution statements in connection with the incidents.”

He told journalists that after recording the statement, the Police told him he was free to go as investigations continue.

Sources said during the encounter, the Police played an audio recording of Besigye’s address in Arua, which he reportedly acknowledged, although he insisted he was speaking metaphorically.

The sources quoted Besigye as saying his comments were made in response to queries from residents and in reference to government policy to lease lakes to private individuals.

Besigye said he was also questioned about the incident in Maddu in Mpigi district in which a man allegedly attacked him during a rally. He said he had lodged a complaint in connection with the incident.

He said he had been reluctant to do so because the Police did not seem impartial in the matter. He reportedly pledged to provide the Police with his shirt which was torn in the Maddu saga. According to sources, the Police had wanted to charge him with inciting violence and sedition.

Besigye yesterday blamed President Yoweri Museveni for the developments. “I have never come to the Police on my own. Every time I have done so, Museveni has been the complainant,” Besigye said. He described Museveni as “a political opponent who does not know how to compete fairly”.

“In all the three places where they say I made inciting remarks, the Police were there but did not think that there was anything criminal in my utterances until Museveni’s directive.”

Commenting on the Maddu incident recently, Museveni said Besigye was attacked because of telling lies about the Government.

Meanwhile, the Police have summoned UPC boss Olara Otunnu for questioning for alleging that the prolonged insurgency in northern Uganda was masterminded by the Government to keep the area backward. He will appear at the CID headquarters tomorrow.

Ends

Is William Ruto about to ditch ODM and takeover the leadership of the dormant Kenda party?

IS WILLIAM RUTO ABOUT TO DITCH ODM AND MOVE TO KENDA, AS STRONG RUMOURS SPREAD IN ELDORET AND KERICHO?

News Analysis By Leo Odera Omolo in Kisumu City

STRONG rumors making the round in two busiest towns in the expansive Rift Valley allege that the Agriculture Minister William Ruto has found a soft landing spot in the dormant KENDA party and that the Eldoret North MP is soon take over its leadership from Kamlesh Patni.

The idea of taking over the mantle of leadership of Kenda, it is further being alleged, came about after his numerous attempts to take over the leadership of the United Democratic Movement[UDM} failed.

Ruto had originally planned to rejoin the UDM, and for some time had been having a good rapport with the UDM Secretary General, Mr. Ole Kamwaro, in anticipation that his relations with the ODM leader Raila Odinga is irreconcilable. This is evidenced by his latest persistent contradictions and criticism of every move made by the ODM collectively with other party leaders.

As the deputy leaders of the ODM ,Ruto is supposed to articulate the party’s stand on the draft constitution. But he has been doing the exact opposite, as he has seized every opportunity to criticize his own party, saying derogatorily that “some people are not all cemented in that and membership of ODM is not for life and death”.

A source in Kericho told this writer that Ruto is just buying time while at the same time trying to rock the ODM boat from within, before his last kick.

Unconfirmed rumors also allege that, through the brokerage of Mrs. Lina Jebii Kilimo, the only Kenda MP sitting in the 10th parliament, Ruto has allegedly struck a deal with Mr. Kamlesh Patni, who in turn would relinquish his position as the Kenda party leader in favor of Ruto.

It is understood that the Kenda party will be restructured, with the Mvita MP and Minister for Tourism Najib Balala, taking over as the deputy party leader. Mr Patni will be relegated to the position of the party national organizing secretary in the new look Kenda party. Simama Kenya leader Jimmy Kibaki is slated to become the Kenda Secretary General, with the MP for Konoin, Dr. Julius Kones as his deputy in the new lineup.

It is also rumored that the former MP for South Mugirango, Omingo Magara, who lost his parliamentary seat following the nullification of his seat by the High Court a couple of months ago would be made the national treasurer of the Kenda. Magara is the current national treasurer of the ODM, but he is reported to be disillusioned after the party leadership turned down his request to be given a direct party nomination.

Mrs. Kilimo has of late been actively turning out during Ruto news conferences, and she is on record for launching scathing criticisms against Raila Odinga, although she is a member of PNU.

Ruto is reported to have enlisted the support of a number of politicians inside Luo-Nyanza, who are said not to be comfortable with the leadership of Raila Odinga. Among those whose names are being mentioned and rumored as having covertly made contact with Ruto is the powerful chairman of the Luo Council of Elders, Ker Meshack Ogalo Riaga.

But speaking at a function held in Kochogo village near Ahero Town, Riaga Ogalo fiercely denied any political association or connections with Ruto. He admitted that he invited the Minister to preside over a funds drive meeting in favor of a church, which is located next to his home, and where he and his family pray in every week.

Riaga Ogalo dismissed the rumors as “childish” and reaffirmed his unswerving loyalty to the ODM and its leader Raila Amolo Odinga. He urged all the adult youths, both male and female who have attained the ages of 18, to come out in their thousands and register themselves as voters during the on going voters registration exercises, so that they will vote for Mr Odinga to realize his presidential ambition comes the year 2012.

Ker Ogalo was speaking during the installation ceremony of Mr Joseph Adera Owiny as an elder {Ogai} of the Jo-Kochogo sub-clan of the larger Jo-Kano clan. Owiny, a former senior administrative officer and a life member of the Agricultural Society of Kenya {ASK} has succeeded the late Mzee Aloo Opiko, who had served in the same capacity for many years until he succumbed to death last year.

Sources in Kisumu have confided to us that Ker Riag Ogalo of late is having myriad of problems

There is a strong pressure mounting that he should call for the elections. All the current Council members have been serving in an interim capacity and they need to be elected fresh

When the Prime Minister met with the Council members at the Ofafa Memorial Hall in Kisumu last month, he did not mince his word, but told the Council members that for them to be able to earn respect from members of the community, they must undergo the process of the elections.

Other sources says Ker Ogalo’s problems originated from his recent secret trip to Libya, which is said to have degenerated into a lot of controversies and suspicion as well as severest criticism.

During the visit in which Ker Riaga Ogalo joined members of the Njuri Ncheke from Meru, the Libya strong man Col Muamor Gadhafi made some hefty donations of cash, tractors and motor vehicles. The Luo Council of Elders is said to have benefited from a gift of a Nissan Van, which was supposed to have been released to them by Mr. Kamlesh Patni. But other Council members immediately questioned the rationale of having the vehicle delivered by Mr Patni.

The trip to Libya by Ker Riaga Ogalo appeared not to have had the blessing of the ODM leadership and at the same time, other Council member have dissented, prompting the call for the Council’s election. How Patni’s name has cropped up in what is exclusively a Luo affair remains a mystery to many members of the community.

Ruto criticized on plans to ditch ODM
The alleged move to ditch the ODM for Kenda by Ruto and some of the Kalenjin MPs from the Rift Valley seems to have elicited a lot of criticism from senior politicians in the South Rift, who feel that the Kalenjin community would be much safe and prosperous if the community remain steadfast in the ODM, as opposed to the migratory kind of politics being advocated by Ruto and his colleagues.

The majority of the Kipsigis, despite the mounting pressure of anti-Railla Odinga campaigns in the region, maintain that the Prime Minister is more mature, sincere and totally committed to help Kenya come out of the yokes of corruption.

It is clear in the Kipsigis region that those MPs from the area, who are presently flirting with Ruto and preaching divisive politics which are aimed at destroying the ODM, would lose their seats come the 2012 general election. The majority of the Kipsigis people have made it clear that they will not join any political party that would associate them with the Kikuyus. And that they are ready to remain steadfast in the ODM with or without Ruto.

A number of Kipsigis politicians are said to have been sending emissaries’ to Ruto, telling him to stick to ODM and reconcile with Raila Odinga, or else the community could find itself locked out of the next government after the next general elections.

Ends

leooderaomolo@yahoo.com

Uganda: UPC opposition leader Dr.Otunnu stoned at the Kiusubi tombs site by Bagandas

UPC LEADER, DR.OLARA OTUNNU STONED BY ANGRY BAGANDA AS HE LEAVES THE TORCHED BURIAL SITE OF KUSUBI TOMBS.

report Leo Odera Omolo

ANGRY Buganda loyalists yesterday pelted Uganda People’s Congress (UPC) president Olara Otunnu with stones, before chasing him away from the burnt Kasubi tombs.

Otunnu was leading a team of party officials on a tour of the world famous tombs, which were burnt to ashes on Monday night.

A group of people calling themselves The Ganda Group, accused the officials of politicking around the grave of Sir Edward Muteesa whose death, they said, was caused by the UPC government.

Former UPC leader, Apolo Obote in 1966 ordered the then army commander, Idi Amin, to attack Muteesa’s palace at Lubiri-Mengo, forcing the monarch to flee into exile in the UK. Obote was the executive prime minister.

Many of Muteesa’s loyalists were killed in the raid, while Muteesa died in exile in 1969.

Otunnu, who won the UPC presidency recently, and is slated to compete for the presidency next year, arrived at the tombs quietly at 10:00am. After the tour, he tried to address journalists in English, but the crowd protested. Some demanded that he speaks in the local language of Luganda and sings the Buganda anthem. Otunnu failed both tests. In response, the irate crowd drove him out of the royal site.

Otunnu, accompanied by party secretary general Chris Opoka, chairman Yonah Kanyomozi and vice-president Badru Wegulo, tried in vain to convince the mob to listen to him. A man only identified as Wasswa said Otunnu’s presence brought memories of the 1966 crisis. An elderly man from Kayunga district, Abbas Ssebaggala, said Otunnu’s visit was unwanted because the party continues to deny responsibility for the 1966 crisis.

The embittered youth hurled stones and insults at Otunnu’s team for about five minutes, shattering the windscreen of his vehicle.
No Mengo official was present. However, some sympathisers pleaded with the crowd and calmed the situation. This gave Otunnu the chance to flee.

His first stop was Mengo, the seat of the Buganda kingdom, where he sought to meet Katikkiro JB Walusimbi.

Speaking to journalists, Otunnu condemned the fire which he described as a brutal act. He said the tombs were both a national and global heritage and that the entire country had suffered a loss.

The “heartless attackers”, he said, must be brought to book for such an “insult on traditional African values”.

Otunnu said he would support the reconstruction of the structure.
His press secretary, Robert Kanuusu, said the UPC leader’s visit to Kasubi and Mengo was the beginning of his attempts to reconcile the party and Buganda.?Asked for a comment, Buganda minister for research David Mpanga advised politicians not to try to make “political mileage” from the tragedy.

“This is not time for politicking,” Mpanga commented.

FDC leader Col. Kizza Besigye and DP president Norbert Mao visited the tombs on Wednesday.

In a statement yesterday, Mao said the fire had destroyed a “treasure”.

“We join the kingdom of Buganda in lamenting and condemning the fire and those capricious and malevolent characters who planned and executed this criminal and ignominious act,” he said.

Mao called for a “special fund” to preserve cultural sites.?
Hundreds of Buganda loyalists yesterday continued to trek to the tombs bringing with them building materials.

State minister for culture Gabriel Opio yesterday said the Government was waiting for Mengo to draw up “a bills of quantities” before it can announce its contribution.

“The facts and extent of damage are not known. We are in touch with Mengo,” Opio said.
He described Kisubi tombs as ” a masterpiece of human creativity both in construction and execution.

Ends

Uganda: Former UN diplomat, Dr.Olara Otunnu Wins UPC party presidency over six others

FORMER UN DIPLOMAT, DR. OLARA OTUNNU WINS THE UPC PARTY PRESIDENCY IN A HOTLY CONTESTED ELECTION

Writes Leo Odera Omolo

SIX of the eight contestants for the Uganda Peoples Congress (UPC) presidency yesterday conceded defeat and pledged to work with winner Olara Otunnu.

The losers noted that Otunnu is qualified to revamp the party. The contestants were Jimmy Akena, Yona Kanyomozi, Sospater Akwenyu, Dickson Opul, Joseph Ochieno, Henry Mayega and Samuel Luwero.

In his speech, Otunnu promised to work closely with the supporters of the losers.

Akena, who gathered 180 votes against Otunnu’s 623, promised to join in the revamping of the party at the grassroots.

“It has been a tough struggle but I will continue to see that the congress takes its rightful place,” Akena said.

Kanyomozi called upon Otunnu to reconcile the party members. “The party needs our support,” he said.

Opul, Ochieno and Akwenyu promised to support Otunnu’s efforts to rebuild the party. However, Mayega, who got 17 votes and Luwero, 11 votes, walked out on realising that the results were not in their favour.

Supporters attributed Otunnu’s success to the one-on-one meetings he held with them while traversing the country.

“Otunnu has a lot to offer the party. He is experienced, and well connected,” said MP Livingstone Okello Okello.

While opposition parties yesterday called Otunnu a force to reckon with, the ruling National Resistance Movement said his appearance on the political scene would not change much.

“I don’t see him as a major threat since the NRM responds to people’s needs and deals with challenges facing the people,” said Government Chief Whip Daudi Migereko.

DP’s Norbert Mao welcomed Otunnu’s election, calling it “the new lease of life for UPC.”

FDC spokesperson Wafula Oguttu said Otunnu’s election was exciting for the Inter-Party Cooperation. “He has strong credentials, a good asset for IPC.”

In his acceptance speech, Otunnu extended a hand to the Buganda Kingdom, which has had acrimonious relation with UPC and its founder, Milton Obote, who abolished the kingdom and forced the Kabaka into exile in 1966.

“We cannot forget what UPC did to Buganda but we need to move forward,” said Mengo spokesperson Peter Mayiga. “The Kabaka has always emphasised the need for reconciliation. If UPC is ready to come to terms with the mistakes they made, we shall be willing to work with them.”

Although eight candidates were in the race, it was clear from the start that the race was between Akena, son of former party president Miria Obote, and Otunnu.

What set them apart was the tactics deployed to win the hearts of the delegates.

Otunnu exploited the division that exists in the party. He persuaded all opposing factors to Miria Obote’s leadership to vote for him. In addition, Otunnu approached and held meetings with elders and youth leaders who had long shunned the party.

Present to support Otunnu were Obote’s former ministers and party elders such as Maj. Edward Rurangaranga, Samwiri Mugwisa, former Chief Justice George Masika, Sam Masiga, Nicholas P’Minga, former Obote’s agriculture minister, Matia Kisembo, Yosam Mugenyi, Patrick Mwondha and Ignatius Isiagi.

According to party insiders, Otunnu skillfully won the hearts of the governors of the Milton Obote Foundation, the party’s financial arm. The foundation has had a difficult relationship with Miria’s regime in the last five years.

Governors like Peter Walubiri, Celestine Mindra, Okello Okello, Chris Opio, Ignatius Barungi, and Patrick Rubaihayo all threw their weight behind Otunnu. It was this group, led by Okello-Okello, which persuaded Otunnu to return to Uganda after 23 years in exile.

Otunnu’s financial and organisational capacity enabled him to set up a fully-fledged secretariat of talented personnel, who drafted the winning plan. The plan proved useful on Saturday when allegations of altering voters’ registers cropped up.

A section of Otunnu’s team spent a night at the voting venue, another monitored events at the party electoral commission office, while a third group spent the night with delegates.

“On Friday, we kept watch till 4:00am. That is how we got to know that one of the electoral officials spent the night locked up with one of the candidates, deleting and adding names to the voter registry,” said a member of Otunnu’s campaign team.

The discovery of irregularities in the voters’ register halted the conference for close to three hours and cost electoral commission officer Margaret Kirunda her job.

End

US harsh comment on Kenya is linked to America’s alleged covert funding of a new political party under Atwoli

US STATEMENT ON KENYA POLICE IS LIKELY TO REKINDLE FRESH DIPLOMATIC THAW FOLLOWING CLAIMS THAT WASHINGTON IS COVERTLY FUNDING A THIRD POLITICAL PARTY TO BE LAUNCHED SOON.

News Analysis By Leo Odera Omolo In Kisumu City

The United States last week’s hard hitting statement in which Washington accused the Kenya police of being trigger happy and continuing to torture criminal suspects is likely to rekindle fresh diplomatic thaw between the two countries.

A report prepared by the US State Department and released to the media houses world wide, states that Barack Obama administration believes that the Kenyan police force grossly violated the rights of Kenyan citizens last year.

The same report notes that despite dozens cases of police extra-judicial killings and torture of suspects, no tangible action has been taken against the culprits.

The report released last Thursday says in part “police numerous criminal suspects during the year under review, often claiming that the suspects had violently resisted arrest or were armed.”

It went on saying, “the report released today is a record of where we are. They provide a fact-base that will inform the United Status’s diplomatic, economic and strategic policies toward other countries in the coming year”, quoting the US Secretary of State Hilary Clinton while releasing last year’s country report last week.

The report on Kenya has captured records of the Independent Medico Legal Unit indicating that 33 people were subjected to extra-judicial killings by Kenyan police last year. Most of the victims were criminal suspects killed without trial.

“Human rights organizations claimed that police often planted weapons on the victims to justify the killing of criminal suspects,” the report states.

The report adds that during the year, more than 25 suspected Mungiki members were killed by the police.

The report notes that no action has been taken against the officers who killed a Mr Benard Kirinya, a policeman who had cooperated with the Kenya National Commission on Human Rights, on investigation of Mungiki killings..

It also notes that no action has been taken against police officers who killed five people in a Matatu in Githurai, Nairobi, in October last year, claiming they were armed members of Mungiki.

The report notes that action is yet to be taken against officers involved in February, 2009 killing of six suspected thieves in Nairobi. N o action has been taken on the shooting to death of 21 robbery suspects in and around Nairobi and the killing of three suspects and two workers in a Nairobi casino, the report says.

The report says disappearance and politically motivated abductions occurred during the year, citing the January 2009 disappearance and brutal murder of journalist Francis Nyaruri in Nyanza Province. The journalist disappeared on January 15 last year and his decapitated body was found on 29 January in a thicket at Kodera Forest in West Kasipul location in Rachuonyo district, about 50 kilometers from his Nyamira district home in Gusii region.

The US situation report has also faulted the government of Kenya for failing to investigate and act on alleged disappearances in connection with the 2008 security operation in Mt Elgon and the crack down on Mungiki members in 2007 and 2008.

It further notes that police used violence and torture during interrogations and as punishment of pre-trial detainees and convicted prisoners.

It says physical assault was the most common method of torture. It adds that last year, police often stopped and arrested citizens to extort bribes. But since few could afford the bribes, many are languishing in jail, unless family or friends raised the money.

The damning report, however, has caused diplomatic thaw between Kenya and the United States, whose ambassador in Nairobi, William Reneberger, is said to have had his tenure as the head of the mission extended for two years by Washington. Rumors making the round in Nairobi say the same extension of tenure of office has been accorded to the Kenya’s Ambassador to Washington Rateng’ Odinga Ogego.

In the recent past, statements by the American diplomats and its visiting dignitaries on Kenya has not been a bed of roses, and not well received. This trend began in earnest soon after the post-election violence in early 2008, though the Washington administration had acted as part of the pressure group by the international community, which led to the formation of the coalition government, after grueling negotiations led by the former UN Secretary General Dr. Kofi Annan

On various occasions Kenya’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Moses Wetangula was forced to react swiftly in countering some of the statements by the US diplomats.

The tone of the harsh vilification of Kenya by the report of the State Department has given credence to rumors an speculation making the round in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi and its environs, that the US is covertly funding a group of disgruntled politicians in Kenya whose relationship with the both the ruling coalition of PNU and ODM is frosty.

The rumor says that Washington, working through its agents at the American controlled ICFTU has allegedly identified Francis Atwoli, the flamboyant COTU{K} Secretary General as their man, and that it is just a matter of time before the Unionist and a group of politicians opposed to both PNU and ODM launch a new countrywide political movement that will give the existing parties ,namely PNU and ODM a run for their money, comes the 2012 general election.

Atwoli could not be reached for his immediate comment. He is said to have travelled to Geneva on union matters.

But of late, Atwoli has been traversing the country, organizing high profile rallies in places like Kisumu, Mombasa, and Kakamega. In most of those gatherings, it has been noted that the unionist, talked less about the workers affairs, but concentrated his public address on political issues affecting Kenyan people, giving credence to the rumors that he would soon launch a new political movement.

A couple of weeks ago, Atwoli conducted a high profile fund raising meeting at Alego Nyang’oma Kogelo village, in Siaya district. Nyangoma Kogelo is the ancestral home of the US President Barack Obama, and the fund drive meeting presided by Atwoli left political pundits in Nyanza with a lot of intelligence guesswork.

At the fund drive meeting, Atwoli was accompanied by a Muhoroni parliamentary perennial election loser, James Onyango Koyoo , the country director of Marie Stopple Clinics an international NGO, which is running chains of clinics in Kenya, Cyprian Otieno Awiti and other dignitaries, most of them political characters known locally inside Luo-Nyanza to be opposed to the Prime Minister Raila Odinga, with exception of Awiti and Kidero, who are known to be in good book with the PM.

Koyoo is a well known power broker, who is also close to the Mumias Sugar Guru Dr. Evans Kidero, another friend of Atwoli. Others have questioned the rationale of Atwoli using anti-Raila elements within Luo-Nyanza whenever he is on a visit to the lakeside City, and why is he not interested in working with the popularly elected Luo leaders.

Other reports say Atwoli of late seemed to be highly liquid and dishing hand outs to scribes and all those who make contact with him wherever he goes, particularly political activists.

During the rallies in Kisumu and at the Muliro Garden in Kakamega, Atwoli and his entourage turned up all wearing pink uniforms, similar in style to the orange color uniform of the ODM, signifying that something big was in the offing. He has been attending funerals in various locations within Luo-Nyanza, making incoherent political utterances, which has led many observers to dismiss him as a common “heckler” than a leader.

Atwoli has also of late been traversing the country, and has not lost one single opportunity to air his comments on every political issue, some of it full of inconsistency and sounding like sycophantic outbursts.

Moderate assessment and analysis of Atwoli speeches portrays him as someone who has a hidden political agenda, a person who is playing the middle ground, and neutral politics as far as the coalition government of the PNU and ODM are concerned.

Other observers were quick in pointing out that any political movement launched by Atwoli would attract very little following among Kenyans. For one reason or the other, trade unionists in the country under Atwoli have lost their former steam and aggressiveness with which they used to be during the tenure of the late Tom Mboya, at the height of the defunct Kenya Federation of Labour [KFL}and thereafter that of Peter Kibisu and the late Clement Lubembe.

The reason being that after the declaration of the State of Emergency in Kenya on 20th October 1952 and the banning of the Kenya African Union {KAU}, which saw its leaders arrests and detention, the Trade Union emerged as the only reliable and dependable voice of the exploited and suppressed African workers. And Mboya exploited this leadership vacuum to the maximum and gained a lot of popularity, which led to his election victory as the Nairobi area member of the colonial Legislative Council in March 1957.

Mboya enjoyed the US massive financial support through the American dominated International Confederation of Free Trade Union {ICFTU}, and it could possibly be that the current US administration is nursing the belief that a trade unionist like Atwoli would be a better bait, and someone who could be groomed to take over political leadership of Kenya. But the observers in Kenya maintained that those glory days of the likes of Mboya are gone.

The political ground is no longer favorable to foreign sponsored political parties. Those were possible during the cold-war between the East-West. But after Kenya attained her political independence in 1963, the successive KANU regimes had considerably watered down the influence of the unionist.

Other reasons are loss of thousands of jobs in the plantations, closing down of many multinational companies and economic hardships that have contributed to loss of membership by unions This has left many unions with paltry following, forcing some of them into merger and amalgamation with the bigger unions. Therefore anybody thinking that unionist can successfully lead a political party in this country at this time is making a “Big Joke”.

Political parties affiliated to the ODM and PNU will still carry the day comes 2012 general elections. COTU{K} in its present form lacks the strength and mass support which could propel its leaders into the national political limelight, because it is no longer a representative workers organization.

Under Atwoli, non-Luhyia secretaries have been eliminated and sent parking, leaving the majority of union leaders to be exclusively from one tribe. This scenario could not play any credible role for Atwoli as the head of a political party. Therefore, whoever is covertly funding a unionist to head a political party in this country is wasting his or her money on a non-starter.

Kenya is obviously not ripe puppet leadership.

Ends

leooderaomolo@yahoo.com